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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
18%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
16%
Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
16%
+125 more
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 markets 823
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
22%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff
12%
+125 more
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$706.5M128 markets 1032
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vance nominationVance nomination
51%
Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
16%
+125 more
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$705.5M128 markets 440
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
97%
Shimelis AbdisaShimelis Abdisa
1%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
1%
+30 more
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$286.0M33 markets 44
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
54%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
45%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
1%
+29 more
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$151.0M32 markets 18901
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
36%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
25%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 more
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$134.9M128 markets 757
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
84%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
10%
There head stateThere head state
1%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$96.1M57 markets 384
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
4%
SeptemberSeptember
1%
AprilApril
0%
+3 more
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$68.2M6 markets 1689
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance
Yes 17¢
No 84¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$66.6M 1
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$42.2M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
96%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
4%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+42 more
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$41.0M45 markets 88
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
50%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
31%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
9%
+25 more
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$37.9M28 markets 693
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.5M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
77%
New PeopleNew People
20%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
2%
+31 more
PoliticsInternational Election PropsRussia Election +6
$31.6M34 markets 614
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

SeptemberSeptember
98%
MayMay
0%
MayMay
0%
+16 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$30.8M19 markets 1419
May 9, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
7%
SeptemberSeptember
1%
AprilApril
0%
+5 more
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.4M8 markets 194
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 2026December 2026
60%
October 2026October 2026
34%
September 2026September 2026
13%
+17 more
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$29.0M20 markets 567
Jul 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
26%
DecemberDecember
14%
NovemberNovember
9%
+11 more
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$25.4M14 markets 1089
Mar 14, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Chow Hang-tungChow Hang-tung
9%
Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsSudan's Emergency Response Rooms
8%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
8%
+68 more
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$24.2M71 markets 207
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
21%
El-Mandeb OctoberEl-Mandeb October
11%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
3%
+9 more
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$14.2M12 markets 270
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
3%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 markets 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
61%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
40%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 more
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.8M15 markets 159
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
60%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
31%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
11%
+2 more
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$12.4M5 markets 292
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%chance
Yes 18¢
No 83¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$11.8M
Dec 31, 2026
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