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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
14%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
14%
+125 more
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.2B128 markets 806
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
40%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
28%
+125 more
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$676.6M128 markets 446
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
20%
Marco RubioMarco Rubio
14%
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom
12%
+125 more
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$664.1M128 markets 1007
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
97%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
1%
Shimelis AbdisaShimelis Abdisa
0%
+30 more
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$213.4M33 markets 42
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
32%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
27%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 more
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$114.8M128 markets 661
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
61%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
26%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
8%
+29 more
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$113.8M32 markets 13531
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
80%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
12%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
2%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$93.9M57 markets 364
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Keir StarmerKeir Starmer
100%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
0%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
0%
+21 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsStarmer +2
$67.0M24 markets 112
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
6%
SeptemberSeptember
3%
AprilApril
0%
+3 more
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$63.3M6 markets 1671
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%chance
Yes 31¢
No 70¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$44.8M 3
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
92%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
7%
Chad Bianco 2026Chad Bianco 2026
0%
+42 more
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$40.4M45 markets 91
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$38.8M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.0M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
14%
SeptemberSeptember
6%
JulyJuly
1%
+4 more
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$28.6M7 markets 198
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
48%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
36%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
7%
+25 more
Main Electionrewards 100, 4.5, 100 DeprecIsrael Election +8
$27.8M28 markets 501
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

AugustAugust
38%
AugustAugust
35%
JulyJuly
27%
+15 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$22.9M18 markets 854
May 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
10%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
UNRWAUNRWA
6%
+68 more
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$22.8M71 markets 198
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
39%
DecemberDecember
26%
SeptemberSeptember
17%
+6 more
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$19.9M9 markets 1083
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
PoliticsshipsIran +5
$17.8M
Jul 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham United KingdomAndy Burnham United Kingdom
100%
Shabana Mahmood United KingdomShabana Mahmood United Kingdom
0%
Lucy Powell United KingdomLucy Powell United Kingdom
0%
+58 more
PoliticsWorldEngland +5
$16.6M61 markets 131
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
56%
New PeopleNew People
37%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
4%
+31 more
PoliticsInternational Election PropsWorld Elections +5
$15.5M34 markets 308
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
6%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 markets 1177
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
63%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
37%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 more
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.0M15 markets 149
Jun 2, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

0%chance
Yes 0¢
No 100¢
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$11.6M
Jul 15, 2026
12
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