Politics Markets
Politics Markets
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Polymarket
31 results
PM LIVE
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination16%
Gavin Newsom nomination15%
Jon Ossoff nomination15%
+125 more
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 markets 845
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Vance19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Gavin Newsom12%
+125 more
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$719.8M128 markets 1060
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert Kennedy nomination49%
Vance nomination37%
Marco Rubio nomination18%
+125 more
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$717.3M128 markets 448
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Pen 202744%
Édouard Philippe 202720%
David Lisnard 202714%
+125 more
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +6
$157.5M128 markets 1048
Apr 19, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez16%
María Corina Machado1%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$99.0M57 markets 485
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
19%chance
Yes 19¢
No 81¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$75.5M 1
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Before 20274%
October0%
April0%
+4 more
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$75.3M7 markets 1734
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot55%
Benjamin Netanyahu30%
Naftali Bennett11%
+25 more
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +8
$56.1M28 markets 1046
Oct 27, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2%chance
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$45.0M 73
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 202760%
December 202637%
November 202625%
+20 more
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$42.9M23 markets 859
Jul 15, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra 202696%
Steve Hilton 20263%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+42 more
California MidtermGovernor ElectionsCalifornia Governor +3
$42.7M45 markets 90
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Senate, House66%
Senate, House27%
Senate, House8%
+2 more
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$38.2M5 markets 438
Nov 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.9M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December3%
April0%
June0%
+5 more
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.6M8 markets 195
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 202726%
December14%
November9%
+11 more
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$28.1M14 markets 1093
Mar 14, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
+17 more
IranTrumpIsrael +7
$27.1M20 markets
Sep 20, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic control after Midterm elections92%
Republican control after Midterm elections9%
Control after Midterm elections0%
+6 more
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$23.8M9 markets 30
Jul 11, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb December15%
El-Mandeb November8%
El-Mandeb October1%
+10 more
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$17.6M13 markets 278
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman 202655%
Karen Bass 202645%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+12 more
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$16.1M15 markets 187
Jun 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12%chance
Yes 12¢
No 89¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$15.6M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20264%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 markets 1176
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$13.2M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$11.0M 276
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson74%
Ulf Kristersson22%
Ebba Busch3%
+33 more
ElectionsWorldWorld Elections +8
$10.5M36 markets 253
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