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Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
34%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
26%
+125 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +5
$654.3M128 markets 418
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 2027Jordan Bardella 2027
28%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
18%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 more
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld +4
$94.9M128 markets 548
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
74%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
13%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
5%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrump +4
$90.5M57 markets 345
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 2026 PeruvianKeiko Fujimori 2026 Peruvian
92%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 PeruvianRoberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 Peruvian
8%
Rafael López Aliaga 2026 PeruvianRafael López Aliaga 2026 Peruvian
0%
+46 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +4
$89.6M49 markets 10908
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

JulyJuly
100%
JulyJuly
100%
JuneJune
100%
+12 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran +1
$67.2M15 markets 2456
May 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 2026July 2026
52%
June 2026June 2026
37%
June 2026June 2026
18%
+25 more
PoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$44.3M28 markets 6
Apr 18, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo Espriella 2026 ColombianAbelardo Espriella 2026 Colombian
85%
Candidate 2026 ColombianCandidate 2026 Colombian
50%
Ivan Cepeda Castro 2026 ColombianIvan Cepeda Castro 2026 Colombian
16%
+25 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElections +6
$36.3M28 markets 728
Jun 21, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
88%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
8%
Tom Steyer 2026Tom Steyer 2026
1%
+42 more
ElectionsUS ElectionPolitics +3
$35.2M45 markets 84
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
Foreign PolicyChinaPolitics +3
$34.0M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 94¢
DenmarkForeign PolicyGreenland +4
$33.6M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

Agreement/ceasefire JulyAgreement/ceasefire July
66%
Agreement/ceasefire JuneAgreement/ceasefire June
44%
Agreement/ceasefire JuneAgreement/ceasefire June
21%
+14 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsIran Ceasefire +2
$31.6M17 markets 391
May 27, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
76%
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
38%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
15%
+8 more
StarmerUKkeir +3
$31.3M11 markets 1751
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
10%
Donald TrumpDonald Trump
8%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
8%
+68 more
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$19.9M71 markets 188
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

DecemberDecember
28%
Iran leadership change by June 30?Iran leadership change by June 30?
4%
MarchMarch
0%
+3 more
MojtabaayatollahPolitics +7
$17.3M6 markets 1070
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
35%
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
29%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
27%
+25 more
PoliticsMiddle EastIsrael +7
$14.3M28 markets 306
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

JuneJune
28%
JuneJune
18%
JuneJune
14%
+9 more
IranIsraelPolitics +3
$10.9M12 markets 531
May 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
57%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
41%
Spencer Pratt 2026Spencer Pratt 2026
0%
+12 more
mayorPoliticsUS Election +6
$10.7M15 markets 117
Jun 2, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
55%
New PeopleNew People
36%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
5%
+31 more
World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Elections +4
$10.4M34 markets 208
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

14%chance
Yes 14¢
No 87¢
PoliticsGreenlandTrump +2
$10.2M 270
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham United KingdomAndy Burnham United Kingdom
64%
United Kingdom appointedUnited Kingdom appointed
23%
Angela Rayner United KingdomAngela Rayner United Kingdom
5%
+58 more
PoliticsEnglandUK +3
$9.6M61 markets 102
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%chance
Yes 11¢
No 90¢
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics +2
$9.0M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Will Trump and Putin not meet?Will Trump and Putin not meet?
97%
RussiaRussia
1%
ChinaChina
1%
+12 more
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +5
$8.3M15 markets
Jun 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Qualifying US-Iran occur June 2026Qualifying US-Iran occur June 2026
63%
US-Iran PakistanUS-Iran Pakistan
16%
US-Iran SwitzerlandUS-Iran Switzerland
9%
+16 more
PoliticsForeign PolicyU.S. x Iran +10
$8.3M19 markets
Jun 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
44%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
37%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
18%
+2 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +6
$7.6M5 markets 212
Nov 3, 2026
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