Politics Markets
Politics Markets
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Polymarket
39 results
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 95¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$11.7M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
Iran diplomatic meeting March 202763%
Iran diplomatic meeting December 202641%
Iran diplomatic meeting October 202628%
+9 more
IranTrumpVance +9
$11.6M12 markets
Jun 27, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic control after Midterm elections90%
Republican control after Midterm elections11%
Control after Midterm elections0%
+6 more
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$11.5M9 markets 1
Jul 11, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.7M 271
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
OilIranPolitics +2
$9.0M
Oct 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson93%
Ulf Kristersson5%
Ebba Busch1%
+33 more
ElectionsWorldWorld Elections +8
$8.3M36 markets 197
Sep 13, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 202770%
November 202766%
September 202761%
+15 more
PoliticsRussiaUkraine Peace Deal +6
$7.7M18 markets 209
Jun 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?80%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?12%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?4%
+13 more
IsraelIranMiddle East +3
$7.5M16 markets
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro finish second 2026 Brazilian70%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva finish second 2026 Brazilian29%
Renan Santos finish second 2026 Brazilian1%
+29 more
BrazilPoliticsWorld +3
$7.5M32 markets 56
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
María enter December40%
María enter September5%
María enter July0%
+10 more
Trump-MachadoTrumpVenezuela +1
$6.5M13 markets 427
Jan 10, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Before 20272%
June0%
August0%
+1 more
NATOPoliticsWorld +5
$6.3M4 markets 68
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Russia nuclear test by...?
Weapon December 20265%
Weapon September 20261%
Weapon November 20250%
+3 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsputin +2
$6.2M6 markets 10
Dec 1, 2025 PM LIVE
PoliticsWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur September 202685%
Diplomatic US-Iran meeting United States September 202613%
Diplomatic US-Iran meeting Pakistan September 20261%
+16 more
IranTrumpVance +10
$6.0M19 markets
Oct 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 20266%
20250%
June 20260%
PoliticsWorldUkraine +3
$5.4M3 markets 63
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic control after Midterm elections61%
Republican control after Midterm elections41%
Control after Midterm elections0%
+6 more
SenateParent For DerivativeUnited States +9
$4.7M9 markets 140
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