Politics Markets
Politics Markets
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49 results
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Senate, House43%
Senate, House36%
Senate, House19%
+2 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +6
$7.9M5 markets 217
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President by June 30?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
TrumpElectionsPolitics
$7.9M
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic control after Midterm elections83%
Republican control after Midterm elections19%
Another control after Midterm elections0%
+6 more
US ElectionPoliticsMidterms +7
$7.4M9 markets 1
Jul 11, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 2026 by-election86%
Robert Kenyon 2026 by-election14%
Rebecca Shepherd 2026 by-election1%
+30 more
PoliticsMain ElectionsGlobal Elections +7
$7.2M33 markets 130
PM LIVE
Politics
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?51%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?28%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?4%
+13 more
IsraelIranMiddle East +3
$6.8M16 markets
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 202692%
September86%
June29%
+10 more
UkrainePoliticsWorld +3
$6.7M13 markets 520
Aug 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
María enter June6%
María enter January0%
María enter March0%
+5 more
Trump-MachadoPoliticsTrump +1
$6.0M8 markets 384
Jan 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Russia nuclear test by...?
Weapon December 202610%
Weapon September 20264%
Weapon June 20261%
+3 more
TrumpputinPolitics +2
$6.0M6 markets 8
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Before 20275%
June0%
April0%
PoliticsWorldTrump +5
$5.9M3 markets 69
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
PolandWorldPolitics +3
$5.0M2 markets 62
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Epstein client list released by...?
June1%
20250%
December 20260%
PoliticsEpsteinTrump
$4.3M3 markets 1049
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Post 200-219 from44%
Post 180-199 from42%
Post 220-239 from8%
+23 more
PoliticsTweet MarketsCulture
$4.2M26 markets
Jun 19, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
0%chance
Yes 0¢
No 100¢
PoliticsVenezuelaTrump +1
$4.2M2 markets 46
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 202649%
October 202634%
June 20264%
+1 more
Ukraine Peace DealPoliticsUkraine +6
$4.0M4 markets 118
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro finish second 2026 Brazilian70%
Renan Santos finish second 2026 Brazilian15%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva finish second 2026 Brazilian5%
+29 more
BrazilPoliticsWorld +3
$3.7M32 markets 42
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
WorldRussiaUkraine +3
$3.7M
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
US strike on Mexico by...?
December14%
US strike on Mexico by January 31?0%
US strike on Mexico by March 31?0%
PoliticsTrumpVenezuela +4
$3.4M3 markets 167
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
18%chance
Yes 18¢
No 82¢
PoliticsElectionsTaxes +3
$3.4M 18
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December13%
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?0%
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?0%
PoliticsGeopoliticsForeign Policy +3
$3.0M3 markets
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
23%chance
Yes 23¢
No 78¢
PoliticsVenezuelaGeopolitics +1
$2.9M 76
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June3%
October0%
December0%
+4 more
PoliticsGazaGeopolitics +6
$2.8M7 markets 354
Oct 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican control after Midterm elections56%
Democratic control after Midterm elections43%
Control after Midterm elections0%
+6 more
US ElectionPoliticsMidterms +9
$2.8M9 markets 72
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
Nicolás December 202610%
Nicolás January 20260%
Nicolás January 20260%
maduroPoliticsVenezuela +2
$2.6M3 markets 61
Jan 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Party hold fewer28%
Party hold exactly18%
Party hold exactly16%
+8 more
CongressPoliticsElections +4
$2.6M11 markets 7
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