Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Entertainment
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Entertainment
Tight spread
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6
Before 2027
$28.9M vol

September
$454K vol

June
$1.2M vol

May
$3.7M vol

March
$1.9M vol
Before 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Last updated: May 14, 2026, 8:31 AM
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