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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

United Kingdom agree increase any main rate capital gains tax Dec 2026
Y66¢/N35¢
United Kingdom agree increase any rate inheritance tax, revenue-raising restriction inheritance tax relief exemption Dec 2026
Y49¢/N52¢
United Kingdom agree increase High Value Council Tax Surcharge reduction its million entry threshold Dec 2026
Y48¢/N52¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXUKWEALTHTAX
Kalshi
Politics

Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?

Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA Legislative
Y50¢/N50¢
SP-Congress alliance Legislative
Y15¢/N86¢
Bahujan Samaj Party Legislative
Y3¢/N98¢
3 个市场
KXUPASSEMBLY
Kalshi
Politics

Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Commit before Jan 2028
Y69¢/N31¢
Commit before Jul 2027
Y44¢/N56¢
Commit before Jan 2027
Y30¢/N71¢
3 个市场
KXUSAIREGULATOR
Kalshi
Politics

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

Order before Jan 2027
Y52¢/N49¢
Order before Dec 2026
Y49¢/N52¢
Order before Nov 2026
Y31¢/N69¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXUSCANADATARIFFDOWN
Kalshi
Politics

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Order new increased before Jan 2027
Y81¢/N19¢
Order new increased before Dec 2026
Y62¢/N39¢
Order new increased before Nov 2026
Y51¢/N50¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXUSCANADATARIFFUP
Kalshi
Politics

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Before Jan 2027
Y52¢/N49¢
Before Nov 2026
Y35¢/N65¢
Before Oct 2026
Y13¢/N88¢
3 个市场
KXUSCHINAAIHOTLINE
Kalshi
Politics

Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

Reported any Source Agencies new between governments United States been formally announced after September 2026, 8:00 before Jan 2027
Y42¢/N58¢
Reported any Source Agencies new between governments United States been formally announced after September 2026, 8:00 before Nov 2026
Y37¢/N64¢
Reported any Source Agencies new between governments United States been formally announced after September 2026, 8:00 before Dec 2026
Y35¢/N65¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXUSCHINAAISAFETY
Kalshi
Politics

Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

Agree announce recognition Argentina's Falkland Islands before Jan 2027
Y28¢/N72¢
1 个市场
KXUSFALKLANDS
Kalshi
Politics

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Senior-level before Jan 2027
Y70¢/N30¢
Senior-level before Dec 2026
Y59¢/N42¢
Senior-level before Nov 2026
Y44¢/N56¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXUSIRANMEETING
Kalshi
Politics

Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?

Reported any Source Agencies United States and Canada reach, outcome review negotiations, written interim framework agreement establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y51¢/N50¢
Reported any Source Agencies United States and Mexico reach, outcome review negotiations, written interim framework agreement establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
Reported any Source Agencies United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, outcome review negotiations, agreement principle establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision while preserving trilateral agreement, where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y34¢/N66¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXUSMCAOUTCOMES
Kalshi
Politics

Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?

Before Jan 2027
Y12¢/N88¢
1 个市场
KXUSOST
Kalshi
Politics

Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Reported any Source Agencies Postal Service blocks least 10,000 distinct mail-in absentee ballots for November 2026 federal general pursuant Executive 14399 materially equivalent amendment, replacement, successor measure before Nov 2026
Y22¢/N79¢
1 个市场
KXUSPSELECTION
Kalshi
Politics

Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?

Ballot-mail
Y36¢/N64¢
1 个市场
KXUSPSPORTALSUBMIT
Kalshi
Politics

Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification?

Ballot-mail
Y44¢/N56¢
1 个市场
KXUSPSPREACCEPT
Kalshi
Politics

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Reported any Source Agencies bilateral U.S.–Saudi for peaceful under Section 123 Atomic Energy Act entered and become legally operative between two governments before Jan 2027
Y13¢/N88¢
1 个市场
KXUSSAUDINUCLEAR
Kalshi
Politics

Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants 2026 above 1400000
Y53¢/N47¢
Total vote count for all participants 2026 above 1450000
Y53¢/N47¢
Total vote count for all participants 2026 above 1000000
Y53¢/N48¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXUSTURNOUT
Kalshi
Politics

Will Virginia regulators approve the Dominion-NextEra merger?

State Corporation Commission announce its approval, with without conditions, NextEra Energy's acquisition control Electric and Power Company before Feb 2027
Y74¢/N27¢
1 个市场
KXVADOMNEX
Kalshi
Politics

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Confirmed Shell signs, itself through controlled affiliate, binding after Issuance granting enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right Venezuela
Y46¢/N54¢
Confirmed ExxonMobil signs, itself through controlled affiliate, binding after Issuance granting enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right Venezuela
Y13¢/N87¢
Confirmed ConocoPhillips signs, itself through controlled affiliate, binding after Issuance granting enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right Venezuela
Y8¢/N92¢
3 个市场
KXVENEZOILCOS
Kalshi
Politics

Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?

One Nation hold third-most seats Victorian Legislative Assembly after 2026 state
Y59¢/N42¢
Nationals hold third-most seats Victorian Legislative Assembly after 2026 state
Y29¢/N72¢
Labor hold third-most seats Victorian Legislative Assembly after 2026 state
Y8¢/N92¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXVICTORIA3RD
Kalshi
Politics

Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election?

Confirmed Jess Wilson first person serve caretaker period for Victorian state ends
Y48¢/N52¢
Confirmed Ben Carroll first person serve caretaker period for Victorian state ends
Y42¢/N58¢
Confirmed Ellen Sandell first person serve caretaker period for Victorian state ends
Y3¢/N97¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXVICTORIAPREMIER
Kalshi
Politics

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

Any federal rules Inc. Section Section Sherman Act any claim for relief asserted United States
Y51¢/N50¢
1 个市场
KXVISADEBIT
Kalshi
Politics

How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?

Number Department State least 100000 calendar year
Y51¢/N49¢
Number Department State least 150000 calendar year
Y51¢/N50¢
Number Department State least 300000 calendar year
Y51¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXVISAREVOKE
Kalshi
Politics

Berlin state election: AfD vote share?

Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y95¢/N5¢
Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y85¢/N15¢
Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXVOTEBERLIN
Kalshi
Politics

Berlin state election: BSW vote share?

Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y90¢/N10¢
Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y88¢/N13¢
Receive least valid second votes 2026
Y88¢/N13¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXVOTEBERLIN
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