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Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
35%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
23%
+125 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +5
$639.4M128 markets 414
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
67%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
7%
+54 more
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrump +4
$88.9M57 markets 347
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 2027Jordan Bardella 2027
23%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
19%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
10%
+125 more
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld +4
$81.1M128 markets 521
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori 2026 PeruvianKeiko Fujimori 2026 Peruvian
76%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 PeruvianRoberto Sánchez Palomino 2026 Peruvian
25%
Rafael López Aliaga 2026 PeruvianRafael López Aliaga 2026 Peruvian
1%
+46 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +5
$54.4M49 markets 5047
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-ohChong Won-oh
72%
Se-hoonSe-hoon
31%
Cho Eun-heeCho Eun-hee
0%
+63 more
PoliticsWorldElections +4
$43.3M66 markets 215
Jun 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

July 2026July 2026
85%
June 2026June 2026
80%
June 2026June 2026
59%
+23 more
PoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$40.6M26 markets 6
Apr 18, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

JuneJune
22%
JuneJune
21%
MayMay
13%
+8 more
PoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x Iran +1
$37.7M11 markets 1834
May 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
DenmarkForeign PolicyGreenland +4
$33.2M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo Espriella 2026 ColombianAbelardo Espriella 2026 Colombian
65%
Candidate 2026 ColombianCandidate 2026 Colombian
50%
Ivan Cepeda Castro 2026 ColombianIvan Cepeda Castro 2026 Colombian
32%
+25 more
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElections +6
$30.9M28 markets 567
Jun 21, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
72%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
26%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
3%
+6 more
StarmerUKkeir +3
$29.5M9 markets 1729
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
64%
Tom Steyer 2026Tom Steyer 2026
23%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
10%
+42 more
ElectionsUS ElectionPolitics +3
$25.3M45 markets 72
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Continue MayContinue May
100%
Continue MayContinue May
100%
Continue MayContinue May
100%
+12 more
IranPoliticsIran Ceasefire +1
$24.7M15 markets 225
May 23, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
Foreign PolicyChinaPolitics +3
$23.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald TrumpDonald Trump
9%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
9%
UNRWAUNRWA
8%
+68 more
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$18.5M71 markets 186
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton 2026Ken Paxton 2026
96%
John Cornyn 2026John Cornyn 2026
4%
Dawn Buckingham 2026Dawn Buckingham 2026
0%
+17 more
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +8
$17.1M20 markets 1
May 26, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

DecemberDecember
30%
Iran leadership change by June 30?Iran leadership change by June 30?
10%
Iran leadership change by May 31?Iran leadership change by May 31?
2%
+3 more
MojtabaayatollahPolitics +7
$15.2M6 markets 1069
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Epstein suicide note released by...?

Epstein suicide note released by...?

6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 95¢
PoliticsEpsteinTrump
$14.6M2 markets 552
May 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
37%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
35%
Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
17%
+25 more
PoliticsMiddle EastIsrael +7
$11.6M28 markets 289
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

13%chance
Yes 13¢
No 88¢
PoliticsGreenlandTrump +2
$10.1M 271
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Mette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary electionsMette Frederiksen after 2026 parliamentary elections
90%
Lars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary electionsLars Løkke Rasmussen after 2026 parliamentary elections
4%
Troels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary electionsTroels Lund Poulsen after 2026 parliamentary elections
2%
+30 more
ElectionsPoliticsGreenland +8
$9.3M33 markets 179
Mar 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
58%
New PeopleNew People
32%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
5%
+31 more
World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Elections +4
$8.9M34 markets 205
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%chance
Yes 11¢
No 90¢
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics +2
$8.6M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham United KingdomAndy Burnham United Kingdom
45%
United Kingdom appointedUnited Kingdom appointed
28%
Angela Rayner United KingdomAngela Rayner United Kingdom
10%
+58 more
PoliticsEnglandUK +3
$8.1M61 markets 101
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Will Trump and Putin not meet?Will Trump and Putin not meet?
92%
RussiaRussia
2%
TurkeyTurkey
1%
+12 more
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +5
$7.9M15 markets 32
Jun 30, 2026
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