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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Tesla general public Nevada before Jan 2027
Y67¢/N34¢
Tesla general public Arizona before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
Tesla general public Georgia before Jan 2027
Y21¢/N79¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXROBOTAXIAREA
Kalshi
Science

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Ride-hailing Denver, before Jan 2027
Y87¢/N13¢
Ride-hailing Las Vegas, before Jan 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Ride-hailing San Diego, before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 more markets
21 markets
KXWAYMOCITY
Kalshi
Science

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y76¢/N24¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y49¢/N51¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y29¢/N72¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEURALINKCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Room-temp reported major peer-reviewed journal
Y2¢/N98¢
1 markets
KXMEISSNER
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

Midomafetamine before Jan 2031
Y54¢/N46¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2030
Y53¢/N47¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2029
Y52¢/N48¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

When (LY3437943)
Y90¢/N10¢
When (LY3437943)
Y85¢/N16¢
When (LY3437943)
Y56¢/N44¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFDARETATRUTIDE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve CagriSema?

Before Jan 2028
Y96¢/N4¢
Before Jul 2027
Y92¢/N8¢
Before Jan 2027
Y64¢/N36¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jul 2027
Y40¢/N60¢
Before Jan 2027
Y10¢/N90¢
3 markets
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before Apr 2027
Y77¢/N23¢
Before Mar 2027
Y52¢/N48¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXNEWGLENN
Kalshi
Science

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 7000 disease during
Y93¢/N7¢
Above 8000 disease during
Y88¢/N12¢
Above 9000 disease during
Y72¢/N29¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXTBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above New World infestation during
Y19¢/N81¢
Above New World infestation during
Y12¢/N89¢
Above New World infestation during
Y9¢/N92¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXSCREWWORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y86¢/N14¢
Above during
Y75¢/N25¢
Above during
Y54¢/N46¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXMPOXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y94¢/N6¢
Above during
Y87¢/N13¢
Above during
Y77¢/N23¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXH5N1COUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 350000 during
Y99¢/N2¢
Above 375000 during
Y92¢/N8¢
Above 400000 during
Y76¢/N25¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGONORRHEACOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Human disease Central African Republic reported before Jan 2027
Y56¢/N44¢
Human disease Kenya reported before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
Human disease Nigeria reported before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+16 more markets
19 markets
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Any LLM least
Y99¢/N1¢
Any LLM least
Y99¢/N2¢
Any LLM least
Y61¢/N40¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Any LLM least
Y97¢/N4¢
Any LLM least
Y88¢/N12¢
Any LLM least
Y71¢/N29¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y3¢/N98¢
1 markets
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Exactly
Y58¢/N42¢
Exactly
Y32¢/N69¢
Exactly
Y10¢/N90¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.46
Y51¢/N50¢
Per hour above $1.76
Y4¢/N97¢
Per hour above $1.61
Y3¢/N98¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXRTX5090MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $5.79
Y97¢/N4¢
Per hour above $6.69
Y96¢/N4¢
Per hour above $6.39
Y94¢/N6¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXH200MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $3.53
Y50¢/N50¢
Per hour above $3.38
Y47¢/N53¢
Per hour above $3.23
Y45¢/N55¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXH100MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $9.17
Y93¢/N7¢
Per hour above $8.87
Y92¢/N8¢
Per hour above $10.37
Y90¢/N10¢
+20 more markets
23 markets
KXB200MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.39
Y21¢/N80¢
Per hour above $1.54
Y8¢/N93¢
Per hour above $1.69
Y4¢/N96¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXA100MAX
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