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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y14¢/N86¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2035
Y85¢/N15¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2030
Y79¢/N21¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2029
Y32¢/N68¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMILLENNIUM
Kalshi
Science

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y60¢/N40¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y51¢/N49¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y37¢/N63¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXQUANTUM
Kalshi
Science

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth bef…
Y41¢/N59¢
1 markets
KXMETEOR
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Announce creation
Y67¢/N33¢
Announce creation
Y58¢/N42¢
Announce creation
Y27¢/N73¢
3 markets
KXOAIAGI
Kalshi
Science

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y76¢/N24¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y31¢/N69¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y28¢/N73¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXRKLBLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

GPT-6 before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
GPT-6 before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
GPT-6 before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXGPT
Kalshi
Science

Number of US data centers in 2026?

United States least 4,800 listed
Y100¢/N
United States least 4,900 listed
Y96¢/N
United States least 5,000 listed
Y92¢/N
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXUSADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y69¢/N31¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y44¢/N56¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y29¢/N71¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Tesla general public Nevada before Jan 2027
Y86¢/N14¢
Tesla general public Arizona before Jan 2027
Y76¢/N24¢
Tesla general public Florida before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXROBOTAXIAREA
Kalshi
Science

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Ride-hailing San Diego, before Jan 2027
Y90¢/N10¢
Ride-hailing Denver, before Jan 2027
Y90¢/N10¢
Ride-hailing Tampa, before Jan 2027
Y90¢/N10¢
+18 more markets
21 markets
KXWAYMOCITY
Kalshi
Science

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y89¢/N12¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y64¢/N36¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y39¢/N62¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEURALINKCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Yale national university rankings
Y55¢/N45¢
Columbia national university rankings
Y47¢/N53¢
Notre Dame national university rankings
Y42¢/N59¢
+8 more markets
11 markets
KXCOLLEGEDROP
Kalshi
Science

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Room-temp reported major peer-reviewed journal
Y/N97¢
1 markets
KXMEISSNER
Kalshi
Science

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 7000 disease during
Y92¢/N
Above 8000 disease during
Y87¢/N14¢
Above 9000 disease during
Y86¢/N15¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXTBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above New World infestation during
Y16¢/N84¢
Above New World infestation during
Y/N95¢
Above New World infestation during
Y/N96¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXSCREWWORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y86¢/N15¢
Above during
Y75¢/N26¢
Above during
Y51¢/N50¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXMPOXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y46¢/N54¢
Above during
Y34¢/N66¢
Above during
Y30¢/N70¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXH5N1COUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 285000 during
Y98¢/N
Above 300000 during
Y95¢/N
Above 325000 during
Y91¢/N
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGONORRHEACOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y99¢/N
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y90¢/N10¢
+10 more markets
13 markets
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Human disease Somalia reported before Jan 2027
Y55¢/N45¢
Human disease South Sudan reported before Jan 2027
Y53¢/N47¢
Human disease Burundi reported before Jan 2027
Y27¢/N74¢
+13 more markets
16 markets
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y86¢/N14¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y76¢/N25¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y60¢/N41¢
3 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y89¢/N12¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y87¢/N14¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y81¢/N20¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?

Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPNTLA
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