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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above New World infestation during
Y47¢/N53¢
Above New World infestation during
Y33¢/N68¢
Above New World infestation during
Y22¢/N79¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXSCREWWORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y67¢/N33¢
Above during
Y57¢/N43¢
Above during
Y46¢/N54¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXMPOXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y47¢/N53¢
Above during
Y45¢/N55¢
Above during
Y37¢/N63¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXH5N1COUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 285000 during
Y91¢/N
Above 300000 during
Y89¢/N11¢
Above 325000 during
Y85¢/N16¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGONORRHEACOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Human disease South Sudan reported before Jan 2027
Y65¢/N36¢
Human disease Kenya reported before Jan 2027
Y52¢/N48¢
Human disease Uganda reported before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+14 more markets
17 markets
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y64¢/N37¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y45¢/N55¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y32¢/N69¢
3 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y88¢/N12¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y80¢/N20¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y73¢/N28¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?

Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y77¢/N24¢
Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y70¢/N30¢
Inc. Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) FDA
Y67¢/N34¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPNTLA
Kalshi
Science

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

Plc FDA
Y80¢/N20¢
Plc FDA
Y76¢/N25¢
Plc FDA
Y71¢/N29¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPLICATIONCMPS
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $0.26
Y96¢/N
Per hour above $0.11
Y96¢/N
Per hour above $0.71
Y92¢/N
+12 more markets
15 markets
KXRTX5090MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.89
Y84¢/N16¢
Per hour above $0.99
Y80¢/N20¢
Per hour above $3.39
Y78¢/N22¢
+17 more markets
20 markets
KXH200MAX
Kalshi
Science

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y70¢/N30¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y64¢/N36¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y59¢/N42¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y64¢/N37¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y50¢/N50¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXFDAANNOUNCE
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before Jun 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y18¢/N82¢
Before Dec 2026
Y16¢/N85¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXNEWGLENN
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Any LLM least
Y88¢/N13¢
Any LLM least
Y69¢/N31¢
Any LLM least
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $2.03
Y86¢/N15¢
Per hour above $1.13
Y81¢/N20¢
Per hour above $1.28
Y80¢/N20¢
+17 more markets
20 markets
KXH100MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $2.27
Y95¢/N
Per hour above $3.17
Y89¢/N12¢
Per hour above $4.67
Y79¢/N21¢
+17 more markets
20 markets
KXB200MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $0.19
Y97¢/N
Per hour above $0.04
Y96¢/N
Per hour above $2.29
Y53¢/N47¢
+15 more markets
18 markets
KXA100MAX
Kalshi
Science

2026 Nobel Physics winner?

Charles Kane
Y26¢/N74¢
Alexei Kitaev
Y16¢/N84¢
Eugene Mele
Y15¢/N85¢
+21 more markets
24 markets
KXNOBELPHYSICS
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Any LLM least
Y83¢/N17¢
Any LLM least
Y74¢/N26¢
Any LLM least
Y52¢/N48¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?

Per hour above $0.06 Jun
Y100¢/N
Per hour above $0.16 Jun
Y100¢/N
Per hour above $0.26 Jun
Y99¢/N
+15 more markets
18 markets
KXRTX5090Q
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jun 30, 2026?

Per hour above $1.99
Y89¢/N12¢
Per hour above $2.99
Y87¢/N13¢
Per hour above $2.79
Y86¢/N15¢
+17 more markets
20 markets
KXH200Q
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute in Q2?

Per hour above $1.63 Jun
Y99¢/N
Per hour above $1.73 Jun
Y95¢/N
Per hour above $1.83 Jun
Y81¢/N20¢
+17 more markets
20 markets
KXH100Q
Kalshi
Science

Top AI model this month

What will be the top AI model this month…
Y74¢/N26¢
What will be the top AI model this month…
Y12¢/N89¢
What will be the top AI model this month…
Y/N96¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXTOPMODEL
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