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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y84¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y78¢/N22¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y76¢/N25¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y24¢/N76¢
2 markets
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Number of US data centers in 2026?

United States least 5,100 listed
Y87¢/N13¢
United States least 5,200 listed
Y76¢/N24¢
United States least 5,300 listed
Y55¢/N45¢
+10 more markets
13 markets
KXUSADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y94¢/N6¢
Above
Y23¢/N77¢
Above
Y3¢/N97¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

Awarded for before Jan 2035
Y48¢/N53¢
Awarded for before Jan 2032
Y45¢/N55¢
Awarded for before Jan 2030
Y30¢/N71¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXRIEMANN
Kalshi
Science

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y13¢/N88¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y12¢/N88¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y10¢/N90¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N4¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N4¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y89¢/N12¢
+10 more markets
13 markets
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y55¢/N45¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXRKLBLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y80¢/N21¢
Delta-class
Y64¢/N36¢
Delta-class
Y16¢/N85¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y40¢/N61¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y21¢/N79¢
2 markets
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y90¢/N10¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y84¢/N17¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y57¢/N43¢
+15 more markets
18 markets
KXAIPARETO
Kalshi
Science

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Above 34000 United States during
Y67¢/N34¢
Above 4000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
Above 6000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 more markets
21 markets
KXCYCLOCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in Arizona this year?

Least 180
Y91¢/N9¢
Least 162
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 166
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXAZDATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 2028
Y95¢/N5¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 2028
Y88¢/N13¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 2027
Y71¢/N29¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Next LandSpace Zhuque-3 launch

When Zhuque-3
Y96¢/N5¢
When Zhuque-3
Y94¢/N6¢
When Zhuque-3
Y89¢/N12¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXLANDSPACELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Next Gemini Pro model release

Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXGEMINI
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y43¢/N57¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y42¢/N58¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y42¢/N58¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 31.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 34.3%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?

Before Jul 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Before Apr 2027
Y70¢/N30¢
Before Feb 2027
Y54¢/N46¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXAASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Astra 6.1+ debut arena score

Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y88¢/N13¢
Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y82¢/N19¢
Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y76¢/N25¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Fable 5.2+ debut arena score

Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y89¢/N11¢
Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y87¢/N13¢
Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y81¢/N19¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVREQ
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