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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?

Before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
1 markets
KXCLAUDE5
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y10¢/N91¢
1 markets
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

2029
Y31¢/N69¢
2028
Y23¢/N78¢
Before 2027
Y12¢/N88¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Will any of the major AI companies pause…
Y11¢/N90¢
1 markets
KXAIPAUSE
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y35¢/N65¢
1 markets
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?

What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y88¢/N13¢
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y65¢/N36¢
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y34¢/N67¢
3 markets
KXAAPLPRICEFOLD
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y50¢/N51¢
Land person 2028
Y15¢/N86¢
Land person before 2028
Y/N96¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y15¢/N85¢
1 markets
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 1500
Y100¢/N
There more than 1750
Y100¢/N
There more than 3000
Y90¢/N10¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI in Dec 2026?
Y63¢/N37¢
Best AI in Dec 2026?
Y15¢/N85¢
Best AI in Dec 2026?
Y13¢/N87¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Y89¢/N12¢
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Y81¢/N19¢
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Y62¢/N38¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXFIELDS
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y61¢/N40¢
Dec
Y28¢/N73¢
Dec
Y/N94¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y/N94¢
1 markets
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y81¢/N20¢
Above
Y50¢/N50¢
Above
Y31¢/N70¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Any solves least Open Problems
Y84¢/N17¢
Any solves least Open Problems
Y68¢/N32¢
Any solves least Open Problems
Y/N92¢
3 markets
KXFRONTIER
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y78¢/N22¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y76¢/N24¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

Top Math AI this month

Top Math AI this month?
Y64¢/N36¢
Top Math AI this month?
Y32¢/N68¢
Top Math AI this month?
Y/N98¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXMATHAI
Kalshi
Science

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Which nuclear power companies will achie…
Y95¢/N
Which nuclear power companies will achie…
Y76¢/N25¢
Which nuclear power companies will achie…
Y75¢/N25¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXCRITICALITY
Kalshi
Science

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

2026
Y/N97¢
1 markets
KXNEWOUTBREAKHANTA
Kalshi
Science

AI capability growth before July?

Any model score least 1525 Jul 2026
Y/N94¢
Any model score least 1575 Jul 2026
Y/N99¢
Any model score least 1600 Jul 2026
Y/N99¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXAISPIKE
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Year
Y41¢/N60¢
Before Oct 2026
Y/N92¢
Before Aug 2026
Y/N97¢
3 markets
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Best AI in Jun 2026?
Y90¢/N10¢
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Y/N95¢
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Y/N97¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

2026
Y99¢/N
2026
Y97¢/N
2026
Y94¢/N
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jun 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y17¢/N84¢
Before Dec 2026
Y16¢/N85¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXCLAUDE
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