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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before Jan 2027
Y68¢/N32¢
Before Jul 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y34¢/N67¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXGROK
Kalshi
Science

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT…
Y/N93¢
1 markets
KXGPTCOST
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic sub…
Y38¢/N63¢
1 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Best AI in Jul 2026?

Best AI in Jul 2026?
Y99¢/N
Unknown
Y/N99¢
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Y/N100¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y12¢/N89¢
1 markets
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before July 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2029
Y23¢/N78¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Will any of the major AI companies pause…
Y72¢/N29¢
1 markets
KXAIPAUSE
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y42¢/N58¢
1 markets
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

What will be the price of a foldable iPhone?

What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y93¢/N
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y78¢/N22¢
What will be the price of a foldable iPh…
Y54¢/N46¢
3 markets
KXAAPLPRICEFOLD
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y47¢/N53¢
Land person 2028
Y25¢/N76¢
Land person before 2028
Y/N98¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Y12¢/N89¢
1 markets
KXTESLAOPTIMUS
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y97¢/N
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y90¢/N10¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y77¢/N23¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y16¢/N84¢
1 markets
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 1500
Y100¢/N
There more than 1750
Y100¢/N
There more than 3000
Y96¢/N
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y66¢/N34¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y15¢/N85¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y/N92¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y61¢/N40¢
Dec
Y32¢/N69¢
Dec
Y/N95¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Robert Barro Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
Partha Dasgupta Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
Richard Blundell Sveriges Riksbank Economic Sciences Memory Alfred
Y11¢/N90¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXNOBELECON
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y/N97¢
1 markets
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y88¢/N13¢
Delta-class
Y84¢/N17¢
Delta-class
Y79¢/N21¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y40¢/N60¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y22¢/N78¢
2 markets
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX launch Dragon Crew-13

Crew-13
Y97¢/N
Crew-13
Y90¢/N10¢
Crew-13
Y85¢/N16¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXSPCXLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y91¢/N
Above
Y66¢/N35¢
Above
Y38¢/N62¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Any solves least Open Problems
Y50¢/N50¢
Any solves least Open Problems
Y50¢/N50¢
Any solves least Open Problems
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXFRONTIER
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y78¢/N22¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y76¢/N25¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXFDAVERVE102
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