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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT…
Y8¢/N93¢
1 markets
KXGPTCOST
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic sub…
Y16¢/N85¢
1 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y7¢/N94¢
1 markets
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2029
Y24¢/N77¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y62¢/N39¢
1 markets
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y42¢/N59¢
Land person 2028
Y27¢/N73¢
Land person before 2028
Y3¢/N97¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Y10¢/N91¢
1 markets
KXTESLAOPTIMUS
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y99¢/N2¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y67¢/N34¢
Dec
Y22¢/N78¢
+7 more markets
10 markets
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y4¢/N96¢
1 markets
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 5000
Y99¢/N2¢
There more than 6000
Y80¢/N20¢
There more than 3000
Y50¢/N50¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y53¢/N48¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y37¢/N63¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y7¢/N93¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y79¢/N21¢
Dec
Y13¢/N88¢
Dec
Y6¢/N95¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2030
Y58¢/N42¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2029
Y19¢/N81¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMILLENNIUM
Kalshi
Science

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y59¢/N41¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y49¢/N51¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y32¢/N68¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXQUANTUM
Kalshi
Science

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth bef…
Y47¢/N53¢
1 markets
KXMETEOR
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Announce creation
Y65¢/N35¢
Announce creation
Y44¢/N56¢
Announce creation
Y7¢/N93¢
3 markets
KXOAIAGI
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y92¢/N8¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y91¢/N9¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y89¢/N12¢
3 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y90¢/N10¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y88¢/N13¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y87¢/N13¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

Plc FDA
Y85¢/N16¢
Plc FDA
Y83¢/N18¢
Plc FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPLICATIONCMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y71¢/N29¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y50¢/N50¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y24¢/N77¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y2¢/N99¢
3 markets
KXFDAANNOUNCE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y8¢/N93¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

2026
Y2¢/N98¢
1 markets
KXNEWOUTBREAKHANTA
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