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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)
Democratic minus Republican national House popular vote marginPolitics
Kalshi Active 8 markets·96¢ Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
4mo·Feb 3, 2027

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8
Democrats national least percentage points
$0 vol
96% ▲0.0%
Democrats national least percentage points
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92% ▲0.0%
Democrats national least percentage points
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89% ▲0.0%
Democrats national least percentage points
$0 vol
75% ▲0.0%
Democrats national least percentage points
$0 vol
47% ▼5.0%
Democrats national least percentage points
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If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 2 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIND
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