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2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?
July 29, 2026Economics
Kalshi Active 10 markets·76¢ Will the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 be at least 4bps?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
17d 6h·Aug 5, 2026

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Markets

10
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 4bps
$0 vol
76% ▲0.0%
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 6bps
$0 vol
71% --
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 8bps
$0 vol
64% ▼25.0%
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 10bps
$0 vol
54% ▲0.0%
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 12bps
$0 vol
30% ▲0.0%
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 4bps
No order book data available

If the the absolute difference between the Federal Reserve’s published 2-year Treasury constant maturity yield for July 29, 2026 and its published value for July 28, 2026 for is at least 4bps, then the market resolves to Yes.

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