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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y17¢/N83¢
2 个市场
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Number of US data centers in 2026?

United States least 5,100 listed
Y91¢/N9¢
United States least 5,200 listed
Y81¢/N19¢
United States least 5,300 listed
Y54¢/N46¢
+10 个市场
13 个市场
KXUSADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y97¢/N4¢
Above
Y28¢/N72¢
Above
Y3¢/N98¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

Awarded for before Jan 2035
Y50¢/N51¢
Awarded for before Jan 2032
Y47¢/N53¢
Awarded for before Jan 2030
Y33¢/N68¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXRIEMANN
Kalshi
Science

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y13¢/N87¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y10¢/N91¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y10¢/N91¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y99¢/N2¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N3¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y89¢/N12¢
+10 个市场
13 个市场
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y55¢/N45¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXRKLBLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y80¢/N21¢
Delta-class
Y65¢/N36¢
Delta-class
Y16¢/N85¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y40¢/N61¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y21¢/N79¢
2 个市场
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y92¢/N8¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y90¢/N10¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y57¢/N43¢
+15 个市场
18 个市场
KXAIPARETO
Kalshi
Science

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Above 34000 United States during
Y60¢/N41¢
Above 4000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
Above 6000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 个市场
21 个市场
KXCYCLOCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y67¢/N33¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y52¢/N49¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y52¢/N49¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in Arizona this year?

Least 180
Y92¢/N8¢
Least 162
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 166
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXAZDATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 2028
Y95¢/N5¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 2028
Y86¢/N14¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 2027
Y70¢/N30¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Next LandSpace Zhuque-3 launch

When Zhuque-3
Y96¢/N5¢
When Zhuque-3
Y93¢/N7¢
When Zhuque-3
Y88¢/N13¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXLANDSPACELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Next Gemini Pro model release

Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXGEMINI
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.1%
Y83¢/N17¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.6%
Y77¢/N24¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 35.5%
Y56¢/N44¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?

Before Jul 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Before Apr 2027
Y69¢/N31¢
Before Feb 2027
Y52¢/N48¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXAASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 in 2027

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 in 2027?
Y32¢/N68¢
1 个市场
KXCHINA1
Kalshi
Science

Astra 6.1+ debut arena score

Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y52¢/N49¢
Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y50¢/N50¢
Astra 6.1+ debut arena score?
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Fable 5.2+ debut arena score

Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y51¢/N50¢
Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y50¢/N50¢
Fable 5.2+ debut arena score?
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVSPEND
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