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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Ride-hailing Denver, before Jan 2027
Y78¢/N22¢
Ride-hailing Las Vegas, before Jan 2027
Y64¢/N36¢
Ride-hailing San Diego, before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 个市场
21 个市场
KXWAYMOCITY
Kalshi
Science

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y73¢/N28¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y50¢/N51¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y28¢/N73¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXNEURALINKCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Room-temp reported major peer-reviewed journal
Y2¢/N98¢
1 个市场
KXMEISSNER
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

Midomafetamine before Jan 2031
Y54¢/N46¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2030
Y53¢/N47¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2029
Y52¢/N48¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

When (LY3437943)
Y90¢/N10¢
When (LY3437943)
Y85¢/N16¢
When (LY3437943)
Y56¢/N44¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXFDARETATRUTIDE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve CagriSema?

Before Jan 2028
Y96¢/N4¢
Before Jul 2027
Y92¢/N8¢
Before Jan 2027
Y79¢/N21¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jul 2027
Y40¢/N61¢
Before Jan 2027
Y10¢/N90¢
3 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before Apr 2027
Y72¢/N29¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Nov 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXNEWGLENN
Kalshi
Science

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 7000 disease during
Y88¢/N12¢
Above 8000 disease during
Y78¢/N22¢
Above 9000 disease during
Y65¢/N36¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXTBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above New World infestation during
Y19¢/N82¢
Above New World infestation during
Y7¢/N94¢
Above New World infestation during
Y6¢/N95¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXSCREWWORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y85¢/N16¢
Above during
Y76¢/N25¢
Above during
Y54¢/N46¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXMPOXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y96¢/N5¢
Above during
Y90¢/N10¢
Above during
Y88¢/N12¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXH5N1COUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 350000 during
Y99¢/N2¢
Above 375000 during
Y92¢/N8¢
Above 400000 during
Y77¢/N23¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXGONORRHEACOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Human disease Central African Republic reported before Jan 2027
Y56¢/N44¢
Human disease Kenya reported before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
Human disease Nigeria reported before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+16 个市场
19 个市场
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Any LLM least
Y99¢/N1¢
Any LLM least
Y99¢/N2¢
Any LLM least
Y59¢/N42¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Any LLM least
Y97¢/N4¢
Any LLM least
Y89¢/N12¢
Any LLM least
Y74¢/N27¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic by 2026?
Y2¢/N98¢
1 个市场
KXNEWOUTBREAKEBOLA
Kalshi
Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Exactly
Y60¢/N41¢
Exactly
Y29¢/N71¢
Exactly
Y4¢/N96¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.46
Y45¢/N55¢
Per hour above $1.61
Y41¢/N60¢
Per hour above $1.76
Y15¢/N85¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXRTX5090MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $5.79
Y97¢/N4¢
Per hour above $6.69
Y96¢/N5¢
Per hour above $6.09
Y93¢/N7¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXH200MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $3.53
Y50¢/N50¢
Per hour above $3.38
Y47¢/N53¢
Per hour above $3.23
Y45¢/N55¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXH100MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $8.87
Y97¢/N3¢
Per hour above $9.17
Y96¢/N4¢
Per hour above $10.37
Y90¢/N10¢
+20 个市场
23 个市场
KXB200MAX
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.54
Y51¢/N49¢
Per hour above $1.69
Y50¢/N50¢
Per hour above $1.39
Y8¢/N92¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXA100MAX
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y84¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y78¢/N22¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y76¢/N25¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXFDAVERVE102
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