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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT…
Y8¢/N93¢
1 个市场
KXGPTCOST
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Will the FDA approve Any psychedelic sub…
Y14¢/N86¢
1 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Y11¢/N89¢
1 个市场
KXBESTLLMCHINA
Kalshi
Science

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2029
Y24¢/N77¢
+4 个市场
7 个市场
KXALIENS
Kalshi
Science

Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?

Will an AI model using neuralese recurre…
Y64¢/N36¢
1 个市场
KXAINEURALESE
Kalshi
Science

NASA lands on the moon?

Land person 2029
Y41¢/N59¢
Land person 2028
Y25¢/N76¢
Land person before 2028
Y3¢/N97¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXMOON
Kalshi
Science

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?
Y8¢/N92¢
1 个市场
KXTESLAOPTIMUS
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y99¢/N2¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in 20…
Y76¢/N24¢
Dec
Y23¢/N78¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Approved Dec 2026
Y5¢/N95¢
1 个市场
KXREACTOR
Kalshi
Science

Measles cases in 2026?

There more than 5000
Y99¢/N2¢
There more than 6000
Y77¢/N24¢
There more than 3000
Y50¢/N50¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXMEASLES
Kalshi
Science

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y58¢/N42¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y31¢/N69¢
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Y7¢/N93¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec
Y81¢/N19¢
Dec
Y10¢/N91¢
Dec
Y2¢/N98¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXCODINGMODEL
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y96¢/N5¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y76¢/N24¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y58¢/N42¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2030
Y58¢/N42¢
For any unsolved Problem before Jan 2029
Y19¢/N81¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXMILLENNIUM
Kalshi
Science

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y59¢/N41¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y49¢/N51¢
When will the first useful quantum compu…
Y32¢/N68¢
+1 个市场
4 个市场
KXQUANTUM
Kalshi
Science

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth bef…
Y54¢/N46¢
1 个市场
KXMETEOR
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Announce creation
Y62¢/N38¢
Announce creation
Y41¢/N59¢
Announce creation
Y7¢/N93¢
3 个市场
KXOAIAGI
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y91¢/N9¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y91¢/N9¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y89¢/N11¢
3 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?

For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y90¢/N10¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y87¢/N14¢
For Treatment-Resistant Depression
Y87¢/N14¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXFDAAPPROVALDATECMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?

Plc FDA
Y86¢/N15¢
Plc FDA
Y83¢/N18¢
Plc FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXNEWDRUGAPPLICATIONCMPS
Kalshi
Science

When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?

Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y72¢/N28¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y51¢/N50¢
Inc. Ristoglogene autogetemcel (risto-cel) FDA
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXNEWDRUGAPPBEAM
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y50¢/N50¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y20¢/N80¢
Announce Reclassification BPC-157 Bulk Drug Substances List
Y4¢/N96¢
3 个市场
KXFDAANNOUNCE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y9¢/N91¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

2026
Y2¢/N98¢
1 个市场
KXNEWOUTBREAKHANTA
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