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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.9%
Y88¢/N13¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.6%
Y87¢/N13¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y81¢/N20¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 9th

Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y48¢/N53¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y48¢/N53¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y48¢/N53¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Yang–Mills before 2045
Y39¢/N62¢
Hodge before 2045
Y33¢/N67¢
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer before 2045
Y16¢/N84¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXMILLENNIUMNEXT
Kalshi
Science

When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Remaining before 2040
Y38¢/N63¢
Remaining before 2035
Y26¢/N75¢
Remaining before 2030
Y19¢/N81¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXMILLENNIUMALL
Kalshi
Science

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Yang–Mills before 2032
Y55¢/N45¢
Yang–Mills before 2031
Y48¢/N53¢
Yang–Mills before 2030
Y46¢/N54¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXYANGMILLS
Kalshi
Science

When will P vs NP be resolved?

Before 2040
Y44¢/N56¢
Before 2035
Y34¢/N67¢
Before 2030
Y24¢/N76¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXPNP
Kalshi
Science

When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?

Before 2032
Y66¢/N34¢
Before 2031
Y57¢/N43¢
Before 2030
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXHODGE
Kalshi
Science

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Swinnerton-Dyer before 2032
Y68¢/N32¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2031
Y61¢/N40¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2030
Y53¢/N47¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXBIRCHSWINN
Kalshi
Science

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

Any before 2028
Y67¢/N34¢
Any before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Any before Nov 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 个市场
6 个市场
KXAIMILLENNIUM
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y50¢/N50¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd

Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y95¢/N6¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y4¢/N96¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y2¢/N98¢
+7 个市场
10 个市场
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek market share this week

DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXDEEPSHARE
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.3%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI company this month

Top Chinese AI company this month?
Y47¢/N53¢
Top Chinese AI company this month?
Y45¢/N55¢
Top Chinese AI company this month?
Y44¢/N56¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

(DeepSWE)
Y78¢/N22¢
(DeepSWE)
Y48¢/N53¢
(DeepSWE)
Y48¢/N53¢
+5 个市场
8 个市场
KXCODEAI
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?

Before Dec 2026
Y87¢/N13¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXGPT
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

(any family) before Dec 2027
Y91¢/N9¢
(any family) before Sep 2027
Y83¢/N18¢
(any family) before Jun 2027
Y68¢/N32¢
+2 个市场
5 个市场
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?

Behind plague lab death before Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
1 个市场
KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN
Kalshi
Science

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

More Oblast before November
Y50¢/N50¢
More Oblast before November
Y50¢/N50¢
More Oblast before November
Y50¢/N50¢
3 个市场
KXPLAGUECOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Next pandemic

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?
Y20¢/N80¢
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?
Y18¢/N83¢
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?
Y12¢/N88¢
3 个市场
KXNEWOUTBREAK-P
Kalshi
Science

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Confirmed human United States before November 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Confirmed human United States before January 2027
Y6¢/N95¢
Confirmed human United States before December 2026
Y5¢/N96¢
3 个市场
KXPNEUMONICPLAGUE
Kalshi
Science

Google market share this week

Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXGOOGSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 4, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 29.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 29.5%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 31.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 个市场
9 个市场
KXANTHVSPEND
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