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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y65¢/N36¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y64¢/N37¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y60¢/N40¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.7%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 35.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Google corporate adoption rate in September

Ramp Index model for 2026 above
Y50¢/N50¢
Ramp Index model for 2026 above
Y50¢/N50¢
Ramp Index model for 2026 above
Y50¢/N50¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXGOOGLADOPT
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 29.2%
Y58¢/N42¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 28.5%
Y56¢/N44¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.8%
Y56¢/N44¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?

Hodge before 2045
Y40¢/N61¢
Yang–Mills before 2045
Y33¢/N68¢
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer before 2045
Y25¢/N76¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXMILLENNIUMNEXT
Kalshi
Science

When will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?

Remaining before 2040
Y43¢/N57¢
Remaining before 2035
Y31¢/N69¢
Remaining before 2030
Y25¢/N75¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXMILLENNIUMALL
Kalshi
Science

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Yang–Mills before 2032
Y52¢/N48¢
Yang–Mills before 2031
Y45¢/N55¢
Yang–Mills before 2030
Y43¢/N57¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXYANGMILLS
Kalshi
Science

When will P vs NP be resolved?

Before 2040
Y69¢/N31¢
Before 2035
Y65¢/N35¢
Before 2029
Y57¢/N43¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXPNP
Kalshi
Science

When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?

Before 2032
Y67¢/N34¢
Before 2031
Y57¢/N43¢
Before 2030
Y51¢/N50¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXHODGE
Kalshi
Science

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Swinnerton-Dyer before 2032
Y68¢/N32¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2031
Y61¢/N39¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2030
Y54¢/N46¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXBIRCHSWINN
Kalshi
Science

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

Any before 2028
Y55¢/N45¢
Any before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Any before Jul 2027
Y36¢/N64¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXAIMILLENNIUM
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.2%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y74¢/N27¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y17¢/N83¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 2…
Y6¢/N94¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd

Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y59¢/N41¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y22¢/N78¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of November …
Y10¢/N91¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek market share this week

DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPSHARE
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek market share this week

DeepSeek market share this week?
Y70¢/N30¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y65¢/N35¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y54¢/N47¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPSHARE
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.3%
Y59¢/N42¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.9%
Y57¢/N43¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 13.5%
Y57¢/N43¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 1…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 1…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 1…
Y50¢/N50¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.8%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.8%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGPT
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

(any family) before Dec 2027
Y90¢/N10¢
(any family) before Sep 2027
Y82¢/N19¢
(any family) before Jun 2027
Y65¢/N35¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?

Behind plague lab death before Nov
Y2¢/N98¢
1 mercados
KXIRKUTSKPATHOGEN
Kalshi
Science

Confirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?

More Oblast before November
Y5¢/N95¢
More Oblast before November
Y4¢/N96¢
More Oblast before November
Y2¢/N99¢
3 mercados
KXPLAGUECOUNT
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