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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Swinnerton-Dyer before 2032
Y72¢/N28¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2031
Y64¢/N36¢
Swinnerton-Dyer before 2030
Y58¢/N42¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXBIRCHSWINN
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y53¢/N48¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y52¢/N48¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y52¢/N49¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y66¢/N35¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y63¢/N38¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y51¢/N49¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?

Before Jan 2027
Y66¢/N35¢
Before Dec 2026
Y55¢/N45¢
Before Nov 2026
Y40¢/N60¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXANTHPERSONALAGENT
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th

Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y78¢/N22¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y9¢/N92¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y8¢/N93¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Tesla general public Nevada before Jan 2027
Y74¢/N27¢
Tesla general public Arizona before Jan 2027
Y52¢/N48¢
Tesla general public Florida before Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXROBOTAXIAREA
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th

Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st

Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y96¢/N5¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y3¢/N97¢
Top Chinese AI Company week of September…
Y2¢/N98¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI Company this month

Top Chinese AI Company this month?
Y93¢/N7¢
Top Chinese AI Company this month?
Y6¢/N94¢
Top Chinese AI Company this month?
Y2¢/N99¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXCHINAAI
Kalshi
Science

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Ride-hailing San Diego, before Jan 2027
Y87¢/N13¢
Ride-hailing Tampa, before Jan 2027
Y87¢/N13¢
Ride-hailing Las Vegas, before Jan 2027
Y85¢/N16¢
+18 mercados más
21 mercados
KXWAYMOCITY
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Claude 6?

(any family) before Dec 2027
Y87¢/N14¢
(any family) before Sep 2027
Y76¢/N25¢
(any family) before Jun 2027
Y62¢/N39¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Nov 2026
Y13¢/N88¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y87¢/N13¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y59¢/N42¢
How many people will Neuralink have impl…
Y32¢/N69¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXNEURALINKCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Caltech national university rankings
Y50¢/N50¢
Columbia national university rankings
Y50¢/N50¢
UCLA national university rankings
Y50¢/N50¢
+8 mercados más
11 mercados
KXCOLLEGEDROP
Kalshi
Science

Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

Top Coding AI this month?
Y58¢/N42¢
Top Coding AI this month?
Y11¢/N89¢
Top Coding AI this month?
Y5¢/N95¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXCODEAI
Kalshi
Science

Near room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?

Room-temp reported major peer-reviewed journal
Y4¢/N97¢
1 mercados
KXMEISSNER
Kalshi
Science

How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 7000 disease during
Y92¢/N8¢
Above 8000 disease during
Y89¢/N12¢
Above 9000 disease during
Y78¢/N22¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXTBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above New World infestation during
Y25¢/N75¢
Above New World infestation during
Y10¢/N91¢
Above New World infestation during
Y8¢/N93¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXSCREWWORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y82¢/N18¢
Above during
Y69¢/N31¢
Above during
Y40¢/N60¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXMPOXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above during
Y34¢/N66¢
Above during
Y28¢/N73¢
Above during
Y24¢/N76¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXH5N1COUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 285000 during
Y99¢/N2¢
Above 300000 during
Y99¢/N2¢
Above 325000 during
Y95¢/N6¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGONORRHEACOUNT
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y96¢/N4¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y95¢/N5¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y73¢/N27¢
+10 mercados más
13 mercados
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Human disease Central African Republic reported before Jan 2027
Y38¢/N63¢
Human disease South Sudan reported before Jan 2027
Y30¢/N70¢
Human disease Burundi reported before Jan 2027
Y26¢/N74¢
+13 mercados más
16 mercados
KXEBOLACOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?

Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y90¢/N10¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y90¢/N10¢
Lonvoguran Ziclumeran (lonvo-z) for Hereditary Angioedema
Y89¢/N11¢
3 mercados
KXFDAAPPROVALDATENTLA
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