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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.39
Y27¢/N74¢
Per hour above $1.54
Y11¢/N89¢
Per hour above $1.69
Y6¢/N95¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXA100MAX
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y79¢/N21¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y75¢/N25¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y27¢/N73¢
2 mercados
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Number of US data centers in 2026?

United States least 5,100 listed
Y84¢/N17¢
United States least 5,200 listed
Y70¢/N30¢
United States least 5,300 listed
Y51¢/N49¢
+10 mercados más
13 mercados
KXUSADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y94¢/N6¢
Above
Y44¢/N56¢
Above
Y4¢/N97¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

Awarded for before Jan 2035
Y51¢/N50¢
Awarded for before Jan 2032
Y48¢/N53¢
Awarded for before Jan 2030
Y29¢/N71¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXRIEMANN
Kalshi
Science

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y22¢/N79¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y18¢/N82¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y17¢/N83¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y98¢/N2¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y93¢/N7¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y92¢/N8¢
+10 mercados más
13 mercados
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y55¢/N45¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y12¢/N88¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXRKLBLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y95¢/N5¢
Delta-class
Y92¢/N8¢
Delta-class
Y54¢/N46¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y39¢/N61¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y21¢/N79¢
2 mercados
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y90¢/N10¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y84¢/N17¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y57¢/N43¢
+15 mercados más
18 mercados
KXAIPARETO
Kalshi
Science

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Above 34000 United States during
Y67¢/N34¢
Above 4000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
Above 6000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 mercados más
21 mercados
KXCYCLOCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 34.5%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXANTHSHARE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in Arizona this year?

Least 180
Y90¢/N10¢
Least 162
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 166
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXAZDATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?

Least 180 listed 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 185 listed 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 190 listed 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXPADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 2028
Y95¢/N5¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 2028
Y88¢/N13¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 2027
Y66¢/N35¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Next LandSpace Zhuque-3 launch

When Zhuque-3
Y96¢/N5¢
When Zhuque-3
Y94¢/N6¢
When Zhuque-3
Y90¢/N10¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXLANDSPACELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Next Gemini Pro model release

Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXGEMINI
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week?
Y79¢/N21¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y69¢/N31¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y64¢/N37¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 31.0%
Y95¢/N5¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 34.3%
Y85¢/N16¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y84¢/N16¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?

Before Jul 2027
Y81¢/N19¢
Before Apr 2027
Y72¢/N28¢
Before Feb 2027
Y57¢/N43¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXAASCORE
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