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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Next pandemic

Pandemic by Dec 31, 2029?
Y22¢/N79¢
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2028?
Y17¢/N83¢
Pandemic by Dec 31, 2027?
Y11¢/N90¢
3 mercados
KXNEWOUTBREAK-P
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Confirmed human United States before January 2027
Y6¢/N94¢
Confirmed human United States before December 2026
Y4¢/N97¢
Confirmed human United States before November 2026
Y2¢/N99¢
3 mercados
KXPNEUMONICPLAGUE
Kalshi
Science

Google market share this week

Google market share this week?
Y71¢/N29¢
Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Google market share this week?
Y45¢/N55¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGSHARE
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.1%
Y60¢/N40¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.2%
Y60¢/N41¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.6%
Y58¢/N42¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.1%
Y54¢/N46¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.3%
Y46¢/N54¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.8%
Y46¢/N54¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

For 2026 (Sep 28–Oct above 450T tokens
Y50¢/N50¢
For 2026 (Sep 28–Oct above 500T tokens
Y50¢/N50¢
For 2026 (Sep 28–Oct above 550T tokens
Y50¢/N50¢
+9 mercados más
12 mercados
KXTOKENUSEM
Kalshi
Science

Google share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.5%
Y54¢/N46¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 14.2%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 15.4%
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Google share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y56¢/N44¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y55¢/N45¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y55¢/N45¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXMOONVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026

Share) for above 52.6%
Y99¢/N2¢
Share) for above 55.6%
Y98¢/N3¢
Share) for above 57.1%
Y83¢/N18¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXOPENSOURCESHARE
Kalshi
Science

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 18.8%
Y89¢/N12¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 19.9%
Y63¢/N38¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 20.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXOPENVREQ
Kalshi
Science

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.9%
Y62¢/N39¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 13.4%
Y54¢/N46¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 14.6%
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXOPENVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.5%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.3%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.7%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?

Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y85¢/N15¢
Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y78¢/N22¢
Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y61¢/N39¢
+30 mercados más
33 mercados
KXTOPLLMGENERAL
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.7%
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXZAIVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 17.0%
Y51¢/N49¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 19.0%
Y50¢/N51¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 22.8%
Y50¢/N51¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXZAIVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y51¢/N50¢
Higher than
Y49¢/N52¢
2 mercados
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y57¢/N43¢
Higher than
Y45¢/N55¢
2 mercados
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y91¢/N9¢
Higher than
Y10¢/N90¢
2 mercados
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y91¢/N9¢
Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y8¢/N93¢
Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y1¢/N100¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Another before Dec 2026
Y93¢/N7¢
Another before Nov 2026
Y73¢/N27¢
Another before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXSPACEXSTARSHIP
Kalshi
Science

Best AI this week

Best AI this week
Y89¢/N12¢
Best AI this week
Y13¢/N87¢
Best AI this week
Y1¢/N99¢
+6 mercados más
9 mercados
KXLLM1
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