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Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.8M 275
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
OilIranPolitics +2
$9.3M
Oct 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena AnderssonMagdalena Andersson
88%
Ulf KristerssonUlf Kristersson
11%
Ebba BuschEbba Busch
2%
+33 更多
ElectionsWorldWorld Elections +8
$8.7M36 个市场 223
Sep 13, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 2027December 2027
72%
November 2027November 2027
69%
October 2027October 2027
66%
+15 更多
PoliticsRussiaUkraine Peace Deal +6
$7.9M18 个市场 216
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro finish second 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro finish second 2026 Brazilian
72%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva finish second 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva finish second 2026 Brazilian
28%
Renan Santos finish second 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos finish second 2026 Brazilian
0%
+29 更多
BrazilPoliticsWorld +3
$7.8M32 个市场 59
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
76%
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
15%
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
4%
+13 更多
IsraelIranMiddle East +3
$7.6M16 个市场
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María enter DecemberMaría enter December
42%
María enter SeptemberMaría enter September
7%
María enter JulyMaría enter July
0%
+10 更多
Trump-MachadoTrumpVenezuela +1
$6.5M13 个市场 434
Jan 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
2%
JuneJune
0%
AugustAugust
0%
+1 更多
NATOPoliticsWorld +5
$6.3M4 个市场 68
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

Weapon December 2026Weapon December 2026
5%
Weapon September 2026Weapon September 2026
1%
Weapon November 2025Weapon November 2025
0%
+3 更多
PoliticsGeopoliticsputin +2
$6.2M6 个市场 10
Dec 1, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

December 2026December 2026
6%
September 2026September 2026
1%
20252025
0%
+1 更多
PoliticsWorldUkraine +3
$5.5M4 个市场 64
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic control after Midterm electionsDemocratic control after Midterm elections
66%
Republican control after Midterm electionsRepublican control after Midterm elections
35%
Control after Midterm electionsControl after Midterm elections
0%
+6 更多
SenateParent For DerivativeUnited States +9
$5.0M9 个市场 147
Nov 3, 2026
12
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