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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
18%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
16%
Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
13%
+125 更多
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 个市场 824
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff
12%
+125 更多
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$708.2M128 个市场 1034
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vance nominationVance nomination
51%
Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
16%
+125 更多
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$706.8M128 个市场 440
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
97%
Shimelis AbdisaShimelis Abdisa
1%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
1%
+30 更多
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$286.0M33 个市场 44
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
61%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
39%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
1%
+29 更多
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$153.2M32 个市场 19459
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
38%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 更多
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$136.9M128 个市场 768
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
54%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
45%
There head stateThere head state
0%
+54 更多
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$97.3M57 个市场 451
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
4%
SeptemberSeptember
1%
AprilApril
0%
+3 更多
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$69.3M6 个市场 1696
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%chance
Yes 16¢
No 85¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$67.8M 1
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$42.6M 73
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
95%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
5%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+42 更多
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$41.2M45 个市场 87
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
53%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
8%
+25 更多
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$38.6M28 个市场 704
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.5M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 2026December 2026
64%
October 2026October 2026
38%
September 2026September 2026
10%
+17 更多
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$30.2M20 个市场 596
Jul 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
6%
SeptemberSeptember
0%
AprilApril
0%
+5 更多
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.5M8 个市场 195
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
26%
DecemberDecember
14%
NovemberNovember
8%
+11 更多
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$26.0M14 个市场 1089
Mar 14, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsSudan's Emergency Response Rooms
13%
Save ChildrenSave Children
10%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
8%
+68 更多
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$24.4M71 个市场 209
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
18%
El-Mandeb OctoberEl-Mandeb October
11%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
1%
+9 更多
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$15.0M12 个市场 272
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
3%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 更多
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 个市场 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
56%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
42%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 更多
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.9M15 个市场 164
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
66%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
28%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
7%
+2 更多
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$13.3M5 个市场 296
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic control after Midterm electionsDemocratic control after Midterm elections
93%
Republican control after Midterm electionsRepublican control after Midterm elections
7%
Control after Midterm electionsControl after Midterm elections
0%
+6 更多
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$12.1M9 个市场 1
Jul 11, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

20%chance
Yes 20¢
No 81¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$12.0M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Iran diplomatic meeting March 2027Iran diplomatic meeting March 2027
70%
Iran diplomatic meeting December 2026Iran diplomatic meeting December 2026
47%
Iran diplomatic meeting October 2026Iran diplomatic meeting October 2026
32%
+9 更多
IranTrumpVance +9
$11.9M12 个市场
Jun 27, 2026
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