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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
15%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
14%
+125 更多
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 个市场 775
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
47%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
28%
+125 更多
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$683.5M128 个市场 418
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
21%
Marco RubioMarco Rubio
13%
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom
12%
+125 更多
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$676.0M128 个市场 988
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
96%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
2%
Alesa MengeshaAlesa Mengesha
1%
+30 更多
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$265.2M33 个市场 39
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
66%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
25%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
8%
+29 更多
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$118.1M32 个市场 14956
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
30%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
13%
+125 更多
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$117.0M128 个市场 648
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
81%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
10%
There head stateThere head state
5%
+54 更多
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$95.0M57 个市场 367
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
6%
SeptemberSeptember
2%
AprilApril
0%
+3 更多
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$63.9M6 个市场 1670
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

21%chance
Yes 21¢
No 80¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$54.6M 1
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
93%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
6%
Chad Bianco 2026Chad Bianco 2026
0%
+42 更多
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$40.5M45 个市场 88
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$39.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.2M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
49%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
35%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
8%
+25 更多
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$30.7M28 个市场 536
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
10%
SeptemberSeptember
5%
AugustAugust
2%
+5 更多
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.0M8 个市场 196
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

AugustAugust
23%
AugustAugust
14%
MayMay
0%
+15 更多
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$26.3M18 个市场 959
May 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0%chance
Yes 0¢
No 100¢
PoliticsshipsIran +5
$24.0M
Jul 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
10%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
7%
UNRWAUNRWA
5%
+68 更多
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$23.1M71 个市场 198
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
31%
DecemberDecember
21%
SeptemberSeptember
7%
+7 更多
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$22.2M10 个市场 1091
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
64%
New PeopleNew People
29%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
4%
+31 更多
PoliticsInternational Election PropsWorld Elections +5
$16.6M34 个市场 347
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
5%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 更多
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 个市场 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
63%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
39%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 更多
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.1M15 个市场 150
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 96¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.5M 271
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$10.4M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
18%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
11%
El-Mandeb AugustEl-Mandeb August
5%
+7 更多
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$9.4M10 个市场 221
Apr 30, 2026
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