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World Markets
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Polymarket
29 results
PM LIVE
World
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom nomination24%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination9%
Kamala Harris nomination8%
+125 more
World ElectionsGlobal ElectionsElections +5
$1.2B128 markets 760
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
World
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco Rubio16%
Vance15%
Gavin Newsom15%
+125 more
World ElectionsGlobal ElectionsUS Election +6
$623.2M128 markets 955
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
World
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 202668%
October 202659%
August 202643%
+14 more
IranTrumpceasefire +6
$277.5M17 markets 5305
Apr 22, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?50%
Netanyahu out by June 30?2%
Netanyahu out by March 31?0%
+2 more
WorldGeopoliticsMiddle East +3
$122.0M5 markets 34
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian41%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian29%
Renan Santos 2026 Brazilian17%
+29 more
BrazilGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +4
$97.4M32 markets 10843
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June3%
March0%
April0%
+2 more
KhameneiIran RegimeKharg Island +4
$52.2M5 markets 437
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2%chance
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
IranIsraelMiddle East +6
$51.0M 3
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
18%chance
Yes 18¢
No 83¢
GeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle East +5
$35.0M 3
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Donald announce United States Strait been July 202657%
Donald announce United States Strait been June 202639%
Donald announce United States Strait been June 202612%
+14 more
Strait of HormuzGeopoliticsTrump +6
$30.4M17 markets 574
Apr 23, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December19%
June2%
May0%
+2 more
TrumpIranU.S. x Iran +3
$25.9M5 markets 203
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December11%
June1%
February0%
+4 more
IsraelWorldIran +5
$20.5M7 markets 412
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
WorldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13%chance
Yes 13¢
No 88¢
IsraelIranTrump +7
$19.6M 6
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state71%
Reza Pahlavi head state6%
Abbas Araghchi head state4%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$14.4M123 markets 120
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 202638%
July 202619%
June 202610%
+2 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +5
$14.3M5 markets 178
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20267%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 more
GeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorld +2
$14.2M4 markets 1178
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
IranshahGeopolitics +4
$11.4M 49
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
WorldChinaGeopolitics +1
$10.6M
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%chance
Yes 8¢
No 92¢
GeopoliticsWorldworld affairs +3
$10.1M 707
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June3%
September0%
December0%
+4 more
GeopoliticsWorldSyria +4
$8.5M7 markets 122
Sep 30, 2025 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20266%
March 20260%
April 20260%
Trump PresidencyUS-IranIran +5
$7.6M3 markets
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%chance
Yes 9¢
No 92¢
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$7.2M 1
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?39%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
GeopoliticsVenezuelaCuba
$6.0M3 markets 83
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 20264%
April 20260%
April 20260%
+3 more
GeopoliticsLebanonIran Ceasefire +4
$5.9M6 markets 48
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb September30%
El-Mandeb June12%
El-Mandeb June8%
+4 more
houthitrafficOil +9
$4.2M7 markets 135
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