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Polymarket
16 results
PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?39%
Netanyahu out by May 31?0%
Netanyahu out by July 31?0%
+3 more
GeopoliticsWorldMiddle East +4
$123.9M6 markets 29
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December10%
September4%
August2%
+7 more
Iran RegimeIranMojtaba Khamenei +6
$69.8M10 markets 513
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state85%
Reza Pahlavi head state3%
There Head State3%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$37.7M123 markets 152
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIran +7
$24.0M 6
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December6%
June0%
January0%
+4 more
shahReza PahlaviIran Regime +5
$21.7M7 markets 418
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July100%
July100%
July100%
+16 more
IranIsraelGeopolitics +2
$21.3M19 markets 187
Jul 18, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 202714%
December 20268%
September 20263%
+2 more
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$19.7M5 markets 1
Jul 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 202610%
October 20267%
August 20262%
+4 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$17.7M7 markets 218
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran December 202635%
US-Iran September 202613%
US-Iran August 20264%
+4 more
IranUS-IranPeace Deal +3
$13.3M7 markets 158
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August
90%
August
87%
July
85%
+2 more
IranceasefirePeace Deal +3
$12.9M5 markets 498
Jul 18, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
HFCGeopoliticsWorld +3
$11.8M 707
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.7M 51
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 202613%
September 20264%
August 20261%
+4 more
GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$8.3M7 markets 232
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20265%
March 20260%
April 20260%
US-IranIsraelIran +5
$7.7M3 markets
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?26%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
CubaVenezuelaGeopolitics
$7.2M3 markets 100
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Seen December28%
Seen September12%
Seen August5%
+11 more
Middle EastIsraelIran +1
$6.2M14 markets 396
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