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Polymarket
33 results
PM LIVE
World
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom nomination25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination9%
Jon Ossoff nomination9%
+125 more
World ElectionsGlobal ElectionsElections +5
$1.2B128 markets 770
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
World
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Marco Rubio16%
Vance15%
Gavin Newsom14%
+125 more
World ElectionsGlobal ElectionsUS Election +6
$628.7M128 markets 962
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
World
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 202698%
August 202698%
October 202698%
+14 more
IranTrumpceasefire +7
$344.8M17 markets 9058
Apr 22, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?74%
Netanyahu out by June 30?1%
Netanyahu out by March 31?0%
+2 more
WorldGeopoliticsMiddle East +3
$122.5M5 markets 34
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian52%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian26%
Renan Santos 2026 Brazilian13%
+29 more
BrazilGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +4
$100.2M32 markets 11578
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
IranIsraelMiddle East +6
$57.0M 3
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August6%
July2%
June1%
+5 more
KhameneiIran RegimeKharg Island +6
$55.3M8 markets 454
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
13%chance
Yes 13¢
No 88¢
GeopoliticsPoliticsMiddle East +5
$37.7M 3
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December14%
July4%
June1%
+3 more
TrumpIranU.S. x Iran +4
$26.8M6 markets 204
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December9%
June1%
February0%
+4 more
IsraelWorldIran +5
$21.0M7 markets 420
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
WorldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10%chance
Yes 10¢
No 91¢
IsraelIranTrump +7
$20.3M 6
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state84%
Reza Pahlavi head state5%
There Head State2%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$15.5M123 markets 121
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 202628%
July 20267%
June 20264%
+2 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$15.4M5 markets 193
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20267%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 more
GeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorld +2
$14.2M4 markets 1178
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 94¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.4M 49
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
0%chance
Yes 0¢
No 100¢
WorldChinaGeopolitics +1
$11.2M
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
GeopoliticsWorldworld affairs +3
$10.3M 707
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June5%
September0%
December0%
+4 more
GeopoliticsWorldSyria +4
$8.5M7 markets 122
Sep 30, 2025 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
July 202628%
June 202622%
April 20260%
+3 more
GeopoliticsLebanonIran Ceasefire +5
$8.5M6 markets 74
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
9%chance
Yes 9¢
No 92¢
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$7.7M 1
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20266%
March 20260%
April 20260%
Trump PresidencyUS-IranIran +5
$7.6M3 markets
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?44%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
GeopoliticsVenezuelaCuba
$6.1M3 markets 83
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb September14%
El-Mandeb June3%
El-Mandeb June1%
+4 more
houthitrafficOil +9
$4.8M7 markets 140
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
July 202642%
June 202627%
June 202611%
+2 more
GeopoliticsIranIsrael +5
$4.7M5 markets 194
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