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Polymarket
18 results
PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?72%
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?69%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?40%
+5 more
GeopoliticsWorldMiddle East +4
$124.7M8 markets 29
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December9%
October1%
July0%
+8 more
Iran RegimeIranMojtaba Khamenei +6
$76.7M11 markets 524
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state86%
There Head State5%
Reza Pahlavi head state2%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$40.5M123 markets 156
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July100%
July100%
July100%
+28 more
IranIsraelGeopolitics +2
$39.5M31 markets 395
Jul 18, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 202710%
December 20262%
July 20260%
+2 more
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$30.7M5 markets 1
Aug 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIran +7
$28.0M 6
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December4%
June0%
January0%
+4 more
shahReza PahlaviIran Regime +5
$22.2M7 markets 433
Feb 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran December 202613%
US-Iran November 20267%
US-Iran October 20261%
+6 more
IranUS-IranPeace Deal +3
$20.4M9 markets 162
Jul 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 20266%
October 20261%
May 20260%
+4 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$18.3M7 markets 218
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
HFCGeopoliticsWorld +3
$16.1M 709
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 202617%
November 202611%
November 20267%
+5 more
NATOTrump PresidencyTrump +4
$12.6M8 markets 556
Jan 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
2%chance
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.8M 57
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December38%
October 20266%
June
0%
+8 more
IrancloseU.S. x Iran +3
$10.7M11 markets 1026
Jul 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 202734%
June 202721%
March 202714%
+7 more
GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$8.6M10 markets 221
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20263%
March 20260%
April 20260%
US-IranIsraelIran +5
$7.8M3 markets
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?10%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
CubaVenezuelaGeopolitics
$7.7M3 markets 118
Feb 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Seen December14%
Seen October2%
Seen June0%
+12 more
Middle EastIsraelIran +1
$7.5M15 markets 415
Mar 14, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Reach new all-time March 202728%
Reach new all-time December14%
Reach new all-time May0%
+2 more
OilGeopoliticsCommodities +2
$5.1M5 markets 41
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