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Polymarket
16 results
PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?49%
Netanyahu out by May 31?0%
Netanyahu out by July 31?0%
+3 more
GeopoliticsWorldMiddle East +4
$124.4M6 markets 29
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December6%
September1%
July0%
+7 more
Iran RegimeIranMojtaba Khamenei +6
$73.4M10 markets 519
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state84%
There Head State5%
Reza Pahlavi head state3%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$39.5M123 markets 155
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July100%
July100%
July100%
+21 more
IranIsraelGeopolitics +2
$30.5M24 markets 291
Jul 18, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIran +7
$26.1M 6
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 202714%
December 20265%
September 20260%
+2 more
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$25.0M5 markets 1
Aug 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December6%
June0%
January0%
+4 more
shahReza PahlaviIran Regime +5
$22.1M7 markets 429
Feb 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 20267%
October 20262%
May 20260%
+4 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$17.9M7 markets 218
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran December 202611%
US-Iran November 20265%
US-Iran October 20263%
+6 more
IranUS-IranPeace Deal +3
$17.7M9 markets 156
Jul 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
HFCGeopoliticsWorld +3
$13.5M 709
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.8M 52
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 20267%
September 20261%
April 20260%
+4 more
GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$8.5M7 markets 219
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20263%
March 20260%
April 20260%
US-IranIsraelIran +5
$7.8M3 markets
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?14%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
CubaVenezuelaGeopolitics
$7.4M3 markets 111
Feb 1, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Seen December20%
Seen October8%
Seen September2%
+12 more
Middle EastIsraelIran +1
$7.2M15 markets 407
Mar 14, 2026 PM LIVE
World
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 202628%
October 202616%
20250%
+3 more
NATOTrump PresidencyTrump +4
$6.9M6 markets 237
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