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Polymarket
17 results
PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?38%
Netanyahu out by July 31?1%
Netanyahu out by May 31?0%
+3 more
GeopoliticsWorldMiddle East +3
$123.5M6 markets 34
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August4%
July1%
June0%
+5 more
Iran RegimeIranMojtaba Khamenei +6
$62.0M8 markets 471
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei head state83%
Reza Pahlavi head state5%
There Head State3%
+120 more
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$22.5M123 markets 136
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8%chance
Yes 8¢
No 93¢
Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIran +7
$21.6M 6
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December6%
June0%
January0%
+4 more
shahReza PahlaviIran Regime +5
$21.5M7 markets 420
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 202614%
October 20269%
August 20264%
+4 more
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$17.2M7 markets 218
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 202719%
December 20269%
September 20264%
+2 more
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$17.0M5 markets 1
Jul 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
July 20262%
April 20260%
April 20260%
+3 more
GeopoliticsLebanonIran Ceasefire +5
$12.1M6 markets 186
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.6M 50
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
HFCGeopoliticsWorld +3
$11.2M 707
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
July 20262%
April 20260%
May 20260%
+2 more
GeopoliticsIranIsrael +5
$9.8M5 markets 603
May 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US-Iran December 202638%
US-Iran September 202619%
US-Iran August 202613%
+4 more
IranUS-IranPeace Deal +3
$9.2M7 markets 132
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 20266%
March 20260%
April 20260%
US-IranIsraelIran +5
$7.6M3 markets
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 202612%
September 20267%
August 20263%
+4 more
GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$7.3M7 markets 220
Jun 30, 2026 PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?
US strike on Cuba by December 31?33%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?0%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?0%
CubaVenezuelaGeopolitics
$6.9M3 markets 91
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Seen December37%
Seen September20%
Seen August12%
+11 more
Middle EastIsraelIran +1
$5.1M14 markets 341
Mar 13, 2026 PM LIVE
World
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
December26%
October0%
December0%
+5 more
WorldMiddle EastIsrael +2
$4.1M8 markets 979
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