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Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027Economics
Kalshi Active 1 markets·24¢ Will the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 3.7%?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
10mo·Aug 13, 2027

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Will the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027 be above 3.7%?+0.0% 24h
Yes 24%
No 76%
$0 Vol
No chart data available

If BLS reports that the 12-month percent change in average hourly earnings of all employees on private nonfarm payrolls for any reference month from August 2026 through July 2027, inclusive, is strictly above 3.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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