Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050Weather
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050Weather
Kalshi Active 1 markets·78¢ Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
287mo·Jan 8, 2050
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?+5.0% 24h
Yes 78%
No 22%
$0 Vol
No chart data available
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Series
KXWARMING
Settlement Sources
Berkeley Earth
https://berkeleyearth.org/data/
NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt
NCEI
https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series
UK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/
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