Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
In 2026Economics
Will the Sahm Rule trigger in 2026?
In 2026Economics
Kalshi Active 1 markets·18¢ Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
5mo·Jan 15, 2027
Track your prediction positions
Connect your Kalshi account to track your contracts, P&L, and settlements.
Will the Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator trigger in 2026?+0.0% 24h
Yes 18%
No 82%
$0 Vol
No chart data available
If the real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator for any monthly observation from Issuance through December 2026 is At least 0.50ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Track Your Bets on Kalshi — and Everything Else
Create a free portfolio starting with your Kalshi positions, P&L & live odds. Then add crypto wallets, exchanges, DeFi & more — all in one place.
Polymarket
Kalshi
50+ Chains
40+ Exchanges
DeFi
NFTs
16K+ Tokens
100% free· Read-only· Encrypted