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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 28.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 29.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 31.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Top Text to Image AI this week

Top Text to Image AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Text to Image AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Text to Image AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+8 more markets
11 markets
KXIMAGEAI
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek market share this week

DeepSeek market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
DeepSeek market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXDEEPSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXZAIVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 17.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 18.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 19.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXZAIVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 6, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.5%
Y65¢/N36¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 13.3%
Y52¢/N48¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.8%
Y49¢/N52¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

End November 2026 (Arena.ai)
Y48¢/N53¢
End November 2026 (Arena.ai)
Y48¢/N53¢
End November 2026 (Arena.ai)
Y48¢/N53¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXTECHRANKLISTAICODE
Kalshi
Science

Total space launches in October

How many all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined 2026
Y100¢/N1¢
How many all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined 2026
Y99¢/N1¢
How many all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined 2026
Y98¢/N2¢
+9 more markets
12 markets
KXLAUNCHES
Kalshi
Science

Top AI model this month

Nov 2026
Y73¢/N28¢
Nov 2026
Y2¢/N99¢
Nov 2026
Y1¢/N99¢
3 markets
KXTOPMODEL
Kalshi
Science

DeepSeek share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 10.8%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.5%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXDEEPVREQ
Kalshi
Science

When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

ECI before Jul 2027
Y96¢/N4¢
ECI before Apr 2027
Y93¢/N7¢
ECI before Feb 2027
Y78¢/N22¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXEPOCHSCORE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?

Before Jan 2027
Y92¢/N8¢
Before Dec 2026
Y87¢/N14¢
Before Dec 2026
Y79¢/N21¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 5.6?

Before Jan 2027
Y91¢/N9¢
Before Dec 2026
Y82¢/N19¢
Before Dec 2026
Y63¢/N37¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Top Open Source AI this week

Top Open Source AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Open Source AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Top Open Source AI this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+10 more markets
13 markets
KXOPENINTAI
Kalshi
Science

When will the Riemann Hypothesis be resolved?

Before 2040
Y78¢/N22¢
Before 2035
Y70¢/N30¢
Before 2030
Y56¢/N44¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXRIEMANNRES
Kalshi
Science

Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?

Reported before 2030
Y76¢/N25¢
Reported before 2029
Y68¢/N32¢
Reported before 2028
Y45¢/N55¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXLLMCHESS
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Where will Waymo operate before 2028?

Ride-hailing Sacramento, Jan
Y85¢/N16¢
Ride-hailing Detroit, Jan
Y80¢/N21¢
Ride-hailing Charlotte, Jan
Y67¢/N34¢
+15 more markets
18 markets
KXWAYMOCITY
Kalshi
Science

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 7, 2026

Share) for above 55.5%
Y88¢/N12¢
Share) for above 57.1%
Y87¢/N13¢
Share) for above 61.9%
Y79¢/N21¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXOPENSOURCESHARE
Kalshi
Science

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Nov 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y18¢/N82¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXOAIPERSONALAGENT
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Nov 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2027
Y22¢/N78¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXANTHPERSONALAGENT
Kalshi
Science

Google market share this week

Google market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
Google market share this week?
Y99¢/N2¢
Google market share this week?
Y69¢/N31¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGOOGSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Nov 6, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y78¢/N22¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y77¢/N23¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y59¢/N41¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGOOGVREQ
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