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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026

Share) for above 52.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
Share) for above 55.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
Share) for above 57.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXOPENSOURCESHARE
Kalshi
Science

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 18.8%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 19.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 20.6%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXOPENVREQ
Kalshi
Science

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 13.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 14.2%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXOPENVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Google share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 11.5%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.3%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 12.7%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGOOGVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?

Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y85¢/N15¢
Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y84¢/N16¢
Which companies will have the top AI mod…
Y61¢/N39¢
+30 more markets
33 markets
KXTOPLLMGENERAL
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of requests on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXZAIVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Z.AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 13.8%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 14.4%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 15.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXZAIVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y51¢/N50¢
Higher than
Y49¢/N52¢
2 markets
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y63¢/N37¢
Higher than
Y30¢/N70¢
2 markets
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Higher than
Y91¢/N9¢
Higher than
Y10¢/N90¢
2 markets
KXLLMH2H
Kalshi
Science

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y100¢/N1¢
Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y1¢/N100¢
Best AI in Oct 2026?
Y1¢/N100¢
+4 more markets
7 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Another before Dec 2026
Y90¢/N10¢
Another before Nov 2026
Y78¢/N22¢
Another before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXSPACEXSTARSHIP
Kalshi
Science

Best AI this week

Best AI this week
Y99¢/N2¢
Best AI this week
Y1¢/N100¢
Best AI this week
Y1¢/N100¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXLLM1
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in California this year?

Least 305
Y79¢/N21¢
Least 300
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 315
Y46¢/N54¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXCADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026

Share) for above 56.1%
Y100¢/N1¢
Share) for above 54.6%
Y99¢/N2¢
Share) for above 57.8%
Y99¢/N2¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXOPENSOURCESHARE
Kalshi
Science

How many locally acquired dengue cases will be reported in Florida in 2026?

500 more during
Y89¢/N12¢
250 more during
Y50¢/N50¢
750 more during
Y32¢/N68¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXFLDENGUE
Kalshi
Science

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Y21¢/N79¢
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Y17¢/N83¢
Best LLM at the end of the decade?
Y14¢/N86¢
+31 more markets
34 markets
KXBESTLLM
Kalshi
Science

Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

Which country will have the best LLM at …
Y66¢/N34¢
Which country will have the best LLM at …
Y30¢/N71¢
Which country will have the best LLM at …
Y3¢/N97¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXBESTLLMCOUNTRY
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2028?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic sub…
Y70¢/N30¢
1 markets
KXFDAAPPROVALPSYCHEDELIC
Kalshi
Science

Top Coding AI this week

Top Coding AI this week?
Y98¢/N2¢
Top Coding AI this week?
Y2¢/N98¢
Top Coding AI this week?
Y2¢/N98¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXTECHRANKLISTAICODE
Kalshi
Science

Google market share this week

Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Google market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXGOOGSHARE
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Oct 2026
Y100¢/N1¢
Oct 2026
Y100¢/N1¢
Oct 2026
Y100¢/N1¢
+8 more markets
11 markets
KXSPACEXCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

OpenRouter AI token usage in November

For 2026 (Nov 2–Nov above 500T tokens
Y91¢/N9¢
For 2026 (Nov 2–Nov above 650T tokens
Y61¢/N39¢
For 2026 (Nov 2–Nov above 800T tokens
Y56¢/N44¢
+11 more markets
14 markets
KXTOKENUSEM
Kalshi
Science

Top Chinese AI company this month

October 2026
Y94¢/N6¢
October 2026
Y4¢/N97¢
October 2026
Y3¢/N98¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXCHINAAI
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