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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

Florida Republican Governor primary: 4th place

Paul Renner finish 2026 gubernatorial
Y38¢/N63¢
Bobby Williams finish 2026 gubernatorial
Y22¢/N79¢
Rachel Rodriguez finish 2026 gubernatorial
Y16¢/N85¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXPRIMARYPLACE
Kalshi
Politics

South Dakota Governor General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 350000
Y51¢/N50¢
Total vote count for all participants above 370000
Y41¢/N60¢
Total vote count for all participants above 380000
Y31¢/N70¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?

Reported any Source Agencies federal government withdraws officers international response sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jul 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Reported any Source Agencies federal government withdraws officers international response sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Jan 2027
Y19¢/N82¢
Reported any Source Agencies federal government withdraws officers international response sanctuary-jurisdiction noncooperation before Sep 2026
Y/N97¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXCBPAIRPORT
Kalshi
Politics

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

2026 election
Y61¢/N40¢
2026 election
Y39¢/N61¢
2026 election
Y/N100¢
3 markets
KXIASENATE
Kalshi
Politics

WI-08 Democratic nominee?

Rick Crosson for WI-08
Y44¢/N56¢
Mark Scheffler for WI-08
Y31¢/N69¢
Katrina DeVille for WI-08
Y24¢/N77¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXWIPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

WI-07 Republican nominee?

Michael Alfonso for WI-07
Y83¢/N18¢
Kevin Hermening for WI-07
Y12¢/N89¢
Jessi Ebben for WI-07
Y/N97¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXWIPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y97¢/N
Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y97¢/N
Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y84¢/N16¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXGOVSENDIFF
Kalshi
Politics

How many Cabinet nominees will be confirmed before the August recess?

Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y47¢/N53¢
Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y35¢/N65¢
Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y/N92¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXAUGRECESSCAB
Kalshi
Politics

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y93¢/N
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y88¢/N12¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y85¢/N16¢
+8 more markets
11 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

Announce their before Jan 2027
Y22¢/N78¢
Announce their before Sep 2026
Y/N91¢
2 markets
KXFARAGEOUTREFORM
Kalshi
Politics

West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y85¢/N16¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y72¢/N28¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y60¢/N40¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Democratic party more than 211 120th Congress
Y91¢/N
Democratic party more than 214 120th Congress
Y85¢/N15¢
Democratic party more than 217 120th Congress
Y79¢/N21¢
+11 more markets
14 markets
KXDHOUSESEATSDIR
Kalshi
Politics

Wisconsin 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 340000
Y90¢/N10¢
Total vote count for all participants above 360000
Y77¢/N24¢
Total vote count for all participants above 370000
Y64¢/N37¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

Number above from January November 2026
Y76¢/N24¢
Number above from January November 2026
Y69¢/N31¢
Number above from January November 2026
Y59¢/N41¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXTRUMPRALLIES
Kalshi
Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y36¢/N65¢
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y30¢/N71¢
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y18¢/N82¢
+8 more markets
11 markets
KXBRPRES1MOV
Kalshi
Politics

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y54¢/N47¢
Hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
PSDB hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 more markets
15 markets
KXBRSENMOSTSEATS
Kalshi
Politics

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

PBC PBC Department War
Y53¢/N48¢
1 markets
KXANTHROPICDOD
Kalshi
Politics

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

Will anyone in Congress change parties?
Y26¢/N75¢
1 markets
KXPARTYLEAVE
Kalshi
Politics

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Justin Pearson for TN-09
Y96¢/N
Steve Cohen for TN-09
Y/N99¢
LaTroy A-Williams for TN-09
Y/N99¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXTNPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

Wisconsin 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 230000
Y92¢/N
Total vote count for all participants above 240000
Y80¢/N21¢
Total vote count for all participants above 250000
Y67¢/N34¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?

Before Oct 2026
Y45¢/N55¢
Before Sep 2026
Y30¢/N71¢
Before Aug 2026
Y/N95¢
3 markets
KXBOLOJANOUT
Kalshi
Politics

West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y85¢/N15¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y73¢/N27¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y61¢/N40¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

WI-07 Democratic nominee?

Fred Clark for WI-07
Y90¢/N10¢
Chris Armstrong for WI-07
Y/N96¢
Ginger Murray for WI-07
Y/N96¢
3 markets
KXWIPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

Exactly people
Y49¢/N51¢
Exactly people
Y37¢/N63¢
Exactly people
Y/N91¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXHOWMANYUKPM
1 ... 535455 ... 110
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