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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

Illinois Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y94¢/N6¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y91¢/N9¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y89¢/N12¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Idaho Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y93¢/N7¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y88¢/N12¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y80¢/N21¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Iowa Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y8¢/N92¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y5¢/N96¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y3¢/N97¢
3 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Iowa Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y69¢/N31¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y46¢/N54¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y27¢/N74¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Hawaii Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y98¢/N2¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y98¢/N2¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y95¢/N5¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Georgia Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y39¢/N62¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y17¢/N84¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y12¢/N88¢
+1 more markets
4 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Georgia Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y44¢/N56¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y26¢/N75¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y14¢/N87¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Florida Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y66¢/N35¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y47¢/N53¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y24¢/N77¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Florida Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y17¢/N84¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y5¢/N95¢
2 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Connecticut Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y87¢/N14¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y71¢/N29¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y56¢/N44¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Colorado Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y95¢/N5¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y95¢/N6¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y91¢/N9¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Arizona Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y8¢/N92¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y4¢/N96¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y4¢/N97¢
3 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Arizona Governor margin of victory

For Democrats election least percentage points
Y84¢/N16¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y66¢/N35¢
For Democrats election least percentage points
Y44¢/N56¢
+3 more markets
6 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Arkansas Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y86¢/N15¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y75¢/N26¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y63¢/N38¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Alabama Governor margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y72¢/N28¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y61¢/N40¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y49¢/N51¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?

First Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends authority least days become law before Jan 2027
Y61¢/N39¢
First Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends authority least days become law before Jan 2027
Y55¢/N45¢
First Section 702 reauthorization enacted after Issuance extends authority least year become law before Jan 2027
Y48¢/N52¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFISALENGTH
Kalshi
Politics

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Legislation reauthorizes Section 702 authority become law before Jan 2027
Y54¢/N46¢
Legislation reauthorizes Section 702 authority become law before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Legislation reauthorizes Section 702 authority become law before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 more markets
5 markets
KXFISAEXTEND
Kalshi
Politics

When will a farm bill become law?

Omnibus, multiyear governs array agricultural and food programs before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Omnibus, multiyear governs array agricultural and food programs before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Omnibus, multiyear governs array agricultural and food programs before Jan 2027
Y16¢/N85¢
3 markets
KXFARMBILL
Kalshi
Politics

Ken Martin out as DNC chair?

Democratic National Committee before Jan 2028
Y56¢/N44¢
Democratic National Committee before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Democratic National Committee before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+5 more markets
8 markets
KXMARTINDNCOUT
Kalshi
Politics

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?

Department Internal Revenue Service (IRS) announce prior-year Section 280E for state-licensed medical marijuana businesses before Jan 2027
Y19¢/N82¢
1 markets
KXMARIJUANA280E
Kalshi
Politics

Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?

Reported reopens initiates criminal Jerome before Aug 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Reported reopens initiates criminal Jerome before Jan 2027
Y5¢/N96¢
2 markets
KXDOJPOWELL
Kalshi
Politics

119th Congress legislative combo

Crypto market structure bill not become law AND farm bill not become law AND federal housing bill not become law for Jan 2027
Y50¢/N50¢
Crypto market structure bill become law AND farm bill become law AND federal housing bill become law for Jan 2027
Y4¢/N97¢
2 markets
KXLEGISLATIVECOMBO
Kalshi
Politics

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

European Union agree announce receive Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 2027
Y8¢/N93¢
1 markets
KXUKRAINEEU
Kalshi
Politics

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

Total amount receipts, including Trump Program receipts above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026
Y97¢/N3¢
Total amount receipts, including Trump Program receipts above 10000000 for fiscal year 2026
Y41¢/N60¢
Total amount receipts, including Trump Program receipts above 50000000 for fiscal year 2026
Y30¢/N71¢
+6 more markets
9 markets
KXCOMMGIFTS
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