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Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
As of Nov 4, 2026Politics
Kalshi Active 7 markets Mutually Exclusive·50¢ Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
2mo·Feb 2, 2027

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7
Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election below 10:00 November 2026
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Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election between and 27.9 10:00 November 2026
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Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election between and 30.9 10:00 November 2026
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Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election between and 33.9 10:00 November 2026
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Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election between and 36.9 10:00 November 2026
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Democratic share minus Republican share, percentage points, returned ballots reported Election Lab for 2026 general election below 10:00 November 2026
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If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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