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Illinois pension debt in 2026?
Fiscal Year 2026Economics
Kalshi Active 7 markets·96¢ Will the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 be above $140 billion?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
3mo·Nov 8, 2026

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Markets

7
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $140 billion
$0 vol
96% ▲0.0%
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $145 billion
$0 vol
78% ▲0.0%
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $150 billion
$0 vol
11% ▲0.0%
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $155 billion
$0 vol
6% ▲0.0%
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $160 billion
$0 vol
6% ▲0.0%
Combined unfunded actuarial liability five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year above $140 billion
No order book data available

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $140 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.

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