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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
On Oct 4, 2026Politics
Kalshi Active 11 markets Mutually Exclusive·36¢ Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
14mo·Oct 4, 2027

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Moderate spread
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Markets

11
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
$0 vol
36% ▲0.0%
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
$0 vol
30% ▲0.0%
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
$0 vol
18% ▲0.0%
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian above
$0 vol
7% ▲0.0%
For Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian between and
$0 vol
7% ▲0.0%
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
No order book data available

If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Series

KXBRPRES1MOV
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