2026: Trump's bad year?
Before 2027Politics
2026: Trump's bad year?
Before 2027Politics
Kalshi Active 1 markets·9¢ Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
17mo·Jan 7, 2028
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Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?+3.9% 24h
Yes 9%
No 91%
$0 Vol
No chart data available
If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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