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2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
House popular vote margin minus final VoteHub generic ballot marginPolitics
Kalshi Active 9 markets Mutually Exclusive·28¢ Will the 2026 House popular vote margin be within 0.9 points of the final VoteHub generic ballot margin?·$0 Total Volume·-- Liquidity·-- OI
7mo·May 30, 2027

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Wide spread
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Markets

9
Margin within points final VoteHub margin
$0 vol
28% ▲0.0%
Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
18% ▲0.0%
Republicans outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
15% --
Republicans outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
7% --
Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
6% --
Margin within points final VoteHub margin
No order book data available

If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is below -6.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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