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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
18%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
16%
Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
14%
+125 de plus
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 marchés 834
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon OssoffJon Ossoff
11%
+125 de plus
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$708.8M128 marchés 1037
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vance nominationVance nomination
51%
Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
15%
+125 de plus
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$707.5M128 marchés 441
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
96%
Demeke MekonnenDemeke Mekonnen
2%
Shimelis AbdisaShimelis Abdisa
1%
+30 de plus
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$286.1M33 marchés 44
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
57%
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
43%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
1%
+29 de plus
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$154.4M32 marchés 19763
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
38%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
12%
+125 de plus
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$137.3M128 marchés 774
Apr 18, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
60%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
39%
There head stateThere head state
1%
+54 de plus
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$97.6M57 marchés 462
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
4%
SeptemberSeptember
0%
AprilApril
0%
+3 de plus
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$70.3M6 marchés 1703
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%chance
Yes 14¢
No 87¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$68.6M 1
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$42.7M 73
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
95%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
4%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+42 de plus
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$41.3M45 marchés 87
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
52%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
30%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
11%
+25 de plus
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$38.9M28 marchés 711
Oct 27, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.6M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 2026December 2026
58%
October 2026October 2026
30%
September 2026September 2026
7%
+17 de plus
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$31.3M20 marchés 605
Jul 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
6%
SeptemberSeptember
0%
AprilApril
0%
+5 de plus
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.5M8 marchés 195
May 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
26%
DecemberDecember
14%
NovemberNovember
7%
+11 de plus
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$26.1M14 marchés 1089
Mar 14, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsSudan's Emergency Response Rooms
15%
Save ChildrenSave Children
12%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
7%
+68 de plus
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$24.8M71 marchés 210
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
18%
El-Mandeb OctoberEl-Mandeb October
9%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
1%
+9 de plus
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$15.2M12 marchés 274
Apr 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
58%
Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
43%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 de plus
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$14.3M15 marchés 170
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
3%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 de plus
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 marchés 1176
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Senate, HouseSenate, House
66%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
27%
Senate, HouseSenate, House
8%
+2 de plus
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$13.6M5 marchés 307
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

22%chance
Yes 22¢
No 79¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$12.7M
Jan 1, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic control after Midterm electionsDemocratic control after Midterm elections
93%
Republican control after Midterm electionsRepublican control after Midterm elections
8%
Control after Midterm electionsControl after Midterm elections
0%
+6 de plus
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$12.2M9 marchés 1
Jul 11, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 96¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$11.9M
Jan 1, 2027
12
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