Marchés Politics
Marchés Politics
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Polymarket
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PM LIVE
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom nomination18%
Jon Ossoff nomination16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination15%
+125 de plus
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 marchés 778
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert Kennedy nomination49%
Vance nomination43%
Marco Rubio nomination23%
+125 de plus
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$686.3M128 marchés 421
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Vance21%
Marco Rubio13%
Gavin Newsom10%
+125 de plus
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$678.3M128 marchés 995
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed95%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Belete Molla1%
+30 de plus
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$270.6M33 marchés 40
Jun 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian65%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian27%
Renan Santos 2026 Brazilian8%
+29 de plus
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$121.0M32 marchés 15643
Oct 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Pen 202730%
Édouard Philippe 202726%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 202714%
+125 de plus
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$118.1M128 marchés 655
Apr 30, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado3%
+54 de plus
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$95.3M57 marchés 368
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Before 20276%
September2%
April0%
+3 de plus
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$64.3M6 marchés 1677
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%chance
Yes 17¢
No 84¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$57.6M 1
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra 202694%
Steve Hilton 20266%
Chad Bianco 20260%
+42 de plus
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$40.6M45 marchés 88
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$39.5M 73
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.2M
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu33%
Naftali Bennett6%
+25 de plus
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$31.4M28 marchés 564
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December9%
September4%
August1%
+5 de plus
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.1M8 marchés 196
Apr 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August10%
August4%
May0%
+15 de plus
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$26.7M18 marchés 968
May 24, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya9%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy6%
UNRWA4%
+68 de plus
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$23.3M71 marchés 198
Oct 10, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 202729%
December21%
November17%
+11 de plus
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$22.9M14 marchés 1094
Mar 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia69%
New People23%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)5%
+31 de plus
PoliticsInternational Election PropsWorld Elections +5
$17.5M34 marchés 367
Sep 30, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20265%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 de plus
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 marchés 1175
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
13%chance
Yes 13¢
No 88¢
OilIranPolitics +2
$13.5M2 marchés
Aug 15, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass 202667%
Nithya Raman 202633%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+12 de plus
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.2M15 marchés 150
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 95¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.5M 271
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$10.5M
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb December17%
El-Mandeb September11%
El-Mandeb August5%
+7 de plus
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$9.7M10 marchés 235
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