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Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

Politics
Polymarket Actif·$14.8M vol·$193.0K liq·6 marchés·1062
Terminé·Mar 31, 2026
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Tous les marchés

6
December
December
$2.5M vol
32% --
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Iran leadership change by June 30?
$1.4M vol
10% ▼1.0%
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Iran leadership change by May 31?
$2.7M vol
1% ▼2.3%
March
March
$3.2M vol
0% --
March
March
$0 vol
0% --
December

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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