Marchés Politics
Marchés Politics
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Polymarket
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PM LIVE
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination17%
Gavin Newsom nomination15%
Jon Ossoff nomination15%
+125 de plus
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 marchés 845
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Vance19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Gavin Newsom12%
+125 de plus
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$719.7M128 marchés 1060
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert Kennedy nomination49%
Vance nomination38%
Marco Rubio nomination18%
+125 de plus
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$717.2M128 marchés 448
Nov 7, 2028 PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Pen 202744%
Édouard Philippe 202717%
David Lisnard 202714%
+125 de plus
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +6
$157.4M128 marchés 1049
Apr 19, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro81%
Delcy Rodríguez18%
María Corina Machado1%
+54 de plus
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$99.0M57 marchés 485
Dec 31, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20%chance
Yes 20¢
No 81¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$75.5M 1
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Before 20274%
October0%
April0%
+4 de plus
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$75.3M7 marchés 1734
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot56%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett11%
+25 de plus
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +8
$55.8M28 marchés 1046
Oct 27, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2%chance
Yes 2¢
No 98¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$45.0M 73
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 202761%
December 202636%
November 202624%
+20 de plus
IranTrumpBlockade +5
$42.9M23 marchés 858
Jul 15, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra 202697%
Steve Hilton 20264%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+42 de plus
California MidtermGovernor ElectionsCalifornia Governor +3
$42.6M45 marchés 90
Nov 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Senate, House66%
Senate, House27%
Senate, House8%
+2 de plus
United StatesRewards 20, 4.5, 50Politics +6
$38.1M5 marchés 437
Nov 4, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.9M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December3%
April0%
June0%
+5 de plus
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.6M8 marchés 195
May 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 202726%
December14%
November9%
+11 de plus
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$28.1M14 marchés 1093
Mar 14, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
Iran September
100%
+17 de plus
IranTrumpIsrael +7
$27.1M20 marchés
Sep 20, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic control after Midterm elections92%
Republican control after Midterm elections9%
Control after Midterm elections0%
+6 de plus
Parent For DerivativeUnited StatesUS Election +7
$23.8M9 marchés 30
Jul 11, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
El-Mandeb December15%
El-Mandeb November8%
El-Mandeb October1%
+10 de plus
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$17.6M13 marchés 278
Apr 1, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman 202655%
Karen Bass 202645%
Rick Caruso 20260%
+12 de plus
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$16.1M15 marchés 187
Jun 3, 2026 PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12%chance
Yes 12¢
No 89¢
PoliticsshipsGeopolitics +7
$15.6M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 20264%
December 20250%
March 20260%
+1 de plus
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 marchés 1176
Dec 31, 2025 PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$13.2M
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
3%chance
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$11.0M 276
Jan 1, 2027 PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson74%
Ulf Kristersson22%
Ebba Busch3%
+33 de plus
ElectionsWorldWorld Elections +8
$10.5M36 marchés 253
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