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Kalshi
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Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Per hour above $1.39
Y61¢/N40¢
Per hour above $0.04
Y50¢/N50¢
Per hour above $0.19
Y50¢/N50¢
+15 autres marchés
18 marchés
KXA100MAX
Kalshi
Science

2026 Nobel Physics winner?

Alexei Kitaev
Y25¢/N75¢
John Preskill
Y24¢/N76¢
Charles Kane
Y22¢/N79¢
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24 marchés
KXNOBELPHYSICS
Kalshi
Science

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

Any LLM least
Y89¢/N11¢
Any LLM least
Y78¢/N22¢
Any LLM least
Y63¢/N38¢
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8 marchés
KXLASTEXAM
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?

Midomafetamine before Jan 2032
Y54¢/N46¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2031
Y52¢/N48¢
Midomafetamine before Jan 2029
Y52¢/N49¢
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6 marchés
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

Rice World Report's Best National Rankings 2027
Y87¢/N14¢
UCLA World Report's Best National Rankings 2027
Y85¢/N16¢
Vanderbilt World Report's Best National Rankings 2027
Y83¢/N17¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXCOLLEGERANK
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

When (LY3437943)
Y95¢/N
When (LY3437943)
Y91¢/N
When (LY3437943)
Y88¢/N13¢
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5 marchés
KXFDARETATRUTIDE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve CagriSema?

Before Jul 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Before Jan 2028
Y78¢/N22¢
Before Jan 2027
Y72¢/N28¢
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5 marchés
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
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Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?

Before Jul 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jul 2027
Y38¢/N62¢
Before Jan 2027
Y14¢/N86¢
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4 marchés
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?

HR+/HER2- with ESR1 mutation before Jan 2028
Y74¢/N26¢
HR+/HER2- with ESR1 mutation before Jan 2027
Y60¢/N40¢
HR+/HER2- with ESR1 mutation before Jun 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
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5 marchés
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Exactly
Y51¢/N50¢
Exactly
Y24¢/N76¢
Exactly
Y13¢/N88¢
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10 marchés
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
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When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Millennium Prize awarded for before Jan 2035
Y21¢/N80¢
Millennium Prize awarded for before Jan 2032
Y15¢/N85¢
Millennium Prize awarded for before Jan 2030
Y11¢/N90¢
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4 marchés
KXRIEMANN
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?

Mythos-Class before Nov 2026
Y90¢/N10¢
Mythos-Class before Oct 2026
Y85¢/N16¢
Mythos-Class before Sep 2026
Y40¢/N60¢
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4 marchés
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