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Kalshi
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?

VERVE-102 before Jan 2035
Y83¢/N17¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2034
Y77¢/N23¢
VERVE-102 before Jan 2033
Y75¢/N25¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXFDAVERVE102
Kalshi
Science

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Year
Y25¢/N76¢
2 marchés
KXSTARSHIPFL
Kalshi
Science

Number of US data centers in 2026?

United States least 5,100 listed
Y85¢/N16¢
United States least 5,200 listed
Y74¢/N27¢
United States least 5,300 listed
Y53¢/N47¢
+10 autres marchés
13 marchés
KXUSADATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

Above
Y94¢/N6¢
Above
Y33¢/N67¢
Above
Y3¢/N98¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXSTARSHIPSPACE
Kalshi
Science

When will the Riemann hypothesis win the Millennium Prize?

Awarded for before Jan 2035
Y51¢/N50¢
Awarded for before Jan 2032
Y46¢/N54¢
Awarded for before Jan 2030
Y30¢/N71¢
+1 autres marchés
4 marchés
KXRIEMANN
Kalshi
Science

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y21¢/N80¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y17¢/N84¢
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
Y16¢/N84¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXARENASCORE
Kalshi
Science

How many launches will Rocket Lab have before 2027?

Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N3¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y97¢/N3¢
Corporation after June 2026 4:00pm and Jan
Y90¢/N10¢
+10 autres marchés
13 marchés
KXRKLBCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron

When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y53¢/N47¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch …
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXRKLBLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip

Delta-class
Y87¢/N13¢
Delta-class
Y79¢/N21¢
Delta-class
Y25¢/N75¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXSPCELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard?

When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y39¢/N61¢
When will Blue Origin launch New Shepard…
Y21¢/N80¢
2 marchés
KXBOLAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y90¢/N10¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y84¢/N17¢
Which AI companies will have a Pareto ef…
Y57¢/N43¢
+15 autres marchés
18 marchés
KXAIPARETO
Kalshi
Science

Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?

Above 34000 United States during
Y66¢/N35¢
Above 4000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
Above 6000 United States during
Y50¢/N50¢
+18 autres marchés
21 marchés
KXCYCLOCOUNT
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y50¢/N50¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXANTHSHARE
Kalshi
Science

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXCLAUDE
Kalshi
Science

Number of data centers in Arizona this year?

Least 180
Y90¢/N10¢
Least 162
Y50¢/N50¢
Least 166
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXAZDATACENTERS
Kalshi
Science

Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?

(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jul 2028
Y95¢/N5¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Jan 2028
Y88¢/N13¢
(V940/mRNA-4157) with pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) for adjuvant treatment completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma before Oct 2027
Y61¢/N39¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXFDAAPPROVE
Kalshi
Science

Next LandSpace Zhuque-3 launch

When Zhuque-3
Y96¢/N5¢
When Zhuque-3
Y94¢/N6¢
When Zhuque-3
Y90¢/N10¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXLANDSPACELAUNCH
Kalshi
Science

Next Gemini Pro model release

Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Google before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXGEMINI
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic market share this week

Anthropic market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
Anthropic market share this week?
Y100¢/N1¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXANTHSHARE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 31.0%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 34.3%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXANTHVSPEND
Kalshi
Science

When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?

Before Jul 2027
Y80¢/N20¢
Before Apr 2027
Y71¢/N29¢
Before Feb 2027
Y56¢/N44¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXAASCORE
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXANTHVREQ
Kalshi
Science

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Vercel Gateway across top labs above 30.7%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 32.9%
Y50¢/N50¢
Vercel Gateway across top labs above 35.1%
Y50¢/N50¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXANTHVSPEND
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