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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

Before Jan 2027
Y33¢/N67¢
Before Jan 2027
Y33¢/N68¢
Before Jan 2027
Y32¢/N68¢
+7 mercados más
10 mercados
KXSCOTUSCERT
Kalshi
Politics

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Rule favor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. Commissioners Boulder County
Y60¢/N41¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

Supreme Court rule favor Mary Parish Littleton Mary Parish Roy
Y77¢/N24¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

Supreme Court rule favor Republican National Committee Republican National Committee Familia Vota
Y65¢/N35¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?

Supreme Court rule favor Apple Inc. Apple Inc. Epic Games, Inc
Y77¢/N23¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

People's Republic China least
Y95¢/N5¢
People's Republic China least
Y61¢/N40¢
People's Republic China least
Y24¢/N76¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXTARIFFRATEPRC
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

European Union least
Y75¢/N25¢
European Union least
Y35¢/N65¢
European Union least
Y15¢/N86¢
3 mercados
KXTARIFFRATEEU
Kalshi
Politics

Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?

Reported any Source Agencies United States and Mexico reach, outcome review negotiations, written interim framework agreement establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y36¢/N64¢
Reported any Source Agencies United States and Canada reach, outcome review negotiations, written interim framework agreement establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y31¢/N69¢
Reported any Source Agencies United States, Mexico, and Canada jointly announce, outcome review negotiations, agreement principle establishing least one material new revised commitment concerning operation, implementation, revision while preserving trilateral agreement, where agreement not limited withdrawing, suspending, avoiding unilateral tariffs retaliatory measures before Jan 2027
Y27¢/N74¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXUSMCAOUTCOMES
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Mexico least
Y80¢/N21¢
Mexico least
Y30¢/N70¢
Mexico least
Y20¢/N81¢
3 mercados
KXTARIFFRATEMEX
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

India least
Y80¢/N20¢
India least
Y40¢/N60¢
India least
Y15¢/N85¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXTARIFFRATEINDIA
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Canada least
Y85¢/N16¢
Canada least
Y41¢/N60¢
Canada least
Y25¢/N76¢
3 mercados
KXTARIFFRATECAN
Kalshi
Politics

What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

Brazil least
Y80¢/N21¢
Brazil least
Y42¢/N58¢
Brazil least
Y19¢/N81¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXTARIFFRATEBR
Kalshi
Politics

Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026?

Reported any Source Agencies initiates completes statewide withdrawal from through binding governmental action directing implementation coordinated filings affected electric utilities remove all substantially all retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint before Jan 2027
Y24¢/N76¢
1 mercados
KXPAPJM
Kalshi
Politics

Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?

United States Court Appeals for Eleventh holds Act’s provisions violate Article Constitution when United States declines intervene underlying action and private relator continues suit
Y10¢/N91¢
1 mercados
KXJUDGMENT
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?

Supreme Court rule favor Jasmine Younge Younge Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office
Y56¢/N44¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

Supreme Court rule favor Tamer Wassily Wassily Blanche
Y31¢/N70¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?

Supreme Court rule favor Michael Salazar Salazar Paramount Global
Y40¢/N61¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?

Supreme Court rule favor RiseandShine Corporation, d/b/a Rise Brewing RiseandShine Corp. PepsiCo, Inc
Y72¢/N28¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?

Supreme Court rule favor Francis Nielsen Nielsen Watanabe
Y75¢/N25¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?

Supreme Court rule favor Kevin Isaac Montoya Palacios Montoya Palacios Liggins
Y61¢/N39¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?

Supreme Court rule favor William Maxwell Maxwell Thomas
Y63¢/N38¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?

Supreme Court rule favor Hamed Kian Kian Florida
Y79¢/N21¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

Supreme Court rule favor Kenneth Jouppi Jouppi Alaska
Y80¢/N20¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
Kalshi
Politics

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?

Supreme Court rule favor Floyd Johnson Johnson United States Congress
Y71¢/N29¢
1 mercados
KXSCOTUSCASE
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