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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?

Number distinct agreed under ratified agreement least after Issuance and
Y50¢/N50¢
Number distinct agreed under ratified agreement least after Issuance and
Y43¢/N57¢
Number distinct agreed under ratified agreement least after Issuance and
Y36¢/N64¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXISRNORMCOUNT
Kalshi
Politics

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Reported any Source Agencies systemwide University California policy reinstating first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT ACT scores for admission formally adopted Jan
Y73¢/N27¢
1 mercados
KXUCSAT
Kalshi
Politics

Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?

Out representative Nov 2026
Y5¢/N95¢
1 mercados
KXEDWARDSOUT
Kalshi
Politics

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?

Number formally binding state-level moratorium data-center development least
Y73¢/N27¢
Number formally binding state-level moratorium data-center development least
Y56¢/N44¢
Number formally binding state-level moratorium data-center development least
Y50¢/N50¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXMORATORIUMCOUNT
Kalshi
Politics

Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Reported any Source Agencies publicly scheduled commercial flight carrying revenue passengers completes trip between airport United States and airport Lebanon before Apr 2027
Y20¢/N80¢
Reported any Source Agencies publicly scheduled commercial flight carrying revenue passengers completes trip between airport United States and airport Lebanon before Jan 2027
Y8¢/N92¢
2 mercados
KXLEBUSFLIGHT
Kalshi
Politics

RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Republican National Committee report more than $85M end
Y85¢/N16¢
Republican National Committee report more than $95M end
Y70¢/N30¢
Republican National Committee report more than $105M end
Y54¢/N46¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $15M end
Y88¢/N12¢
National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $25M end
Y72¢/N28¢
National Republican Senatorial Committee report more than $20M end
Y59¢/N42¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $60M end
Y86¢/N14¢
National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $65M end
Y74¢/N26¢
National Republican Congressional Committee report more than $70M end
Y61¢/N39¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Report more than $275M end
Y93¢/N7¢
Report more than $300M end
Y89¢/N12¢
Report more than $325M end
Y84¢/N16¢
+5 mercados más
8 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

House Majority PAC report more than $80M end
Y80¢/N21¢
House Majority PAC report more than $95M end
Y72¢/N28¢
House Majority PAC report more than $110M end
Y57¢/N43¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $20M end
Y78¢/N22¢
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $25M end
Y57¢/N43¢
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee report more than $30M end
Y39¢/N61¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

DCCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $30M end
Y88¢/N13¢
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $35M end
Y77¢/N24¢
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee report more than $40M end
Y65¢/N36¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Senate Majority PAC report more than $75M end
Y85¢/N16¢
Senate Majority PAC report more than $85M end
Y70¢/N30¢
Senate Majority PAC report more than $95M end
Y54¢/N46¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Senate Leadership Fund report more than $150M end
Y84¢/N16¢
Senate Leadership Fund report more than $175M end
Y69¢/N31¢
Senate Leadership Fund report more than $200M end
Y53¢/N47¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)

Report more than $25M during
Y98¢/N2¢
Report more than $35M during
Y97¢/N3¢
Report more than $30M during
Y97¢/N4¢
+10 mercados más
13 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Report more than $20M during
Y100¢/N1¢
Report more than $25M during
Y98¢/N2¢
Report more than $30M during
Y73¢/N28¢
+4 mercados más
7 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

CLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $95M end
Y91¢/N9¢
Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $105M end
Y81¢/N20¢
Congressional Leadership Fund report more than $115M end
Y71¢/N29¢
+9 mercados más
12 mercados
KXFUNDRAISING
Kalshi
Politics

Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission announce decision pursue division Interconnection into two more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 2027
Y10¢/N91¢
1 mercados
KXFERCPJM
Kalshi
Politics

Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?

President Chair Federal Reserve before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
President Chair Federal Reserve before Jan 2028
Y19¢/N82¢
President Chair Federal Reserve before Jul 2027
Y12¢/N89¢
+1 mercados más
4 mercados
KXTRYFIREWARSH
Kalshi
Politics

Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?

Centers for Medicare Services Department Health and Human Services (HHS) announce definitive decision lift, whole part, either federal payment deferral announced for July 2026, otherwise make amount covered either deferral available applicable state before Jan 2027
Y61¢/N39¢
Centers for Medicare Services Department Health and Human Services (HHS) announce definitive decision lift, whole part, either federal payment deferral announced for July 2026, otherwise make amount covered either deferral available applicable state before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
2 mercados
KXRESTOREDEFERRAL
Kalshi
Politics

Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?

Centers for Medicare Services Department Health and Human Services (HHS) formal least million federal matching funds for claims submitted single other than California Minnesota, based fraud, waste, abuse, program-integrity concerns before Sep 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Centers for Medicare Services Department Health and Human Services (HHS) formal least million federal matching funds for claims submitted single other than California Minnesota, based fraud, waste, abuse, program-integrity concerns before Jan 2027
Y29¢/N72¢
2 mercados
KXCMSDEFERRAL
Kalshi
Politics

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Chairman Board Governors Federal Reserve System before Jan 2031
Y78¢/N22¢
Chairman Board Governors Federal Reserve System before Jan 2030
Y13¢/N88¢
Chairman Board Governors Federal Reserve System before Jan 2029
Y7¢/N93¢
+2 mercados más
5 mercados
KXWARSHOUT
Kalshi
Politics

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Reported any Source Agencies bilateral U.S.–Saudi for peaceful under Section 123 Atomic Energy Act entered and become legally operative between two governments before Jan 2027
Y13¢/N87¢
1 mercados
KXUSSAUDINUCLEAR
Kalshi
Politics

When will a reconciliation bill become law?

Before Oct 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before Jan 2029
Y40¢/N61¢
Before Jul 2028
Y32¢/N69¢
+3 mercados más
6 mercados
KXRECNCBILL
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