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Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Taiwan Travel AdvisoryPolitics
Kalshi 活跃 5 个市场·54¢ Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2030?·$0 总交易量·-- 流动性·-- OI
1mo·Jul 8, 2026
紧密价差
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市场

5
State Department warning before Jan 2030
$0 vol
54% ▲0.0%
State Department warning before Jan 2029
$0 vol
47% ▲0.0%
State Department warning before Jan 2028
$0 vol
31% ▲2.0%
State Department warning before Jan 2027
$0 vol
15% ▲0.0%
State Department warning before Jul 2026
$0 vol
2% ▲0.4%
State Department warning before Jan 2030
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If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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