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Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
Before Jan 1, 2027Politics
Kalshi 活跃 6 个市场·50¢ Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains no forward-looking guidance regarding the likely future path of the federal funds rate before Jan 1, 2027?·$0 总交易量·-- 流动性·-- OI
5mo·Jan 8, 2027

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6
Reported any Source Agencies Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains forward-looking guidance regarding likely future path funds rate before Jan 2027
$0 vol
50% ▲0.0%
Reported any Source Agencies Summary Economic Projections omits individual participants’ federal-funds-rate projections before Jan 2027
$0 vol
32% ▼4.0%
Reported any Source Agencies Open Market Committee post-meeting statement emphasizes trimmed-mean median inflation measures before Jan 2027
$0 vol
16% ▲0.0%
Reported any Source Agencies Board Governors does not approve reappointment Bank president before Jan 2027
$0 vol
12% ▲0.0%
Reported any Source Agencies Chair does not hold press conference following regularly scheduled Open Market Committee meeting before Jan 2027
$0 vol
11% ▲0.0%
Reported any Source Agencies Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains forward-looking guidance regarding likely future path funds rate before Jan 2027
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If a Federal Open Market Committee post-meeting statement contains no forward-looking guidance regarding the likely future path of the federal funds rate after May 05 10:00 AM ET and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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