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2026: Trump's bad year?
Before 2027Politics
Kalshi 活跃 1 个市场·11¢ Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?·$0 总交易量·-- 流动性·-- OI
17mo·Jan 7, 2028

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Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?-1.0% 24h
Yes 11%
No 89%
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If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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