2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
House popular vote margin minus final VoteHub generic ballot marginPolitics
2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
House popular vote margin minus final VoteHub generic ballot marginPolitics
Kalshi 活跃 9 个市场 互斥·50¢ Will Democrats outperform the final VoteHub generic ballot margin by 5 to 6.9 points in the 2026 House popular vote?·$0 总交易量·-- 流动性·-- OI
6mo·May 30, 2027
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9Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin more points
$0 vol
Republicans outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
Republicans outperform final VoteHub margin points
$0 vol
Democrats outperform final VoteHub margin points
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If the national House popular vote margin (D − R) minus the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) at 10:00 AM ET on November 3, 2026 is below -6.9 in the 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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