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2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
At the release of the national House popular vote dataPolitics
Kalshi 活跃 10 个市场 互斥·25¢ Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?·$0 总交易量·-- 流动性·-- OI
18mo·Feb 1, 2028

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市场

10
Democratic Representatives national between and
$0 vol
25% ▲0.0%
Democratic Representatives national between and
$0 vol
23% ▲0.0%
Democratic Representatives national between and
$0 vol
19% ▲1.0%
Democratic Representatives national between and
$0 vol
13% ▲0.0%
Republicans Representatives national
$0 vol
11% ▼1.0%
Democratic Representatives national between and
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

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