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Mantapex
Marchés World
Événements actifs
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Volume total
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Source
Polymarket
PM LIVE
World
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
47%
Netanyahu out by May 31?Netanyahu out by May 31?
0%
Netanyahu out by July 31?Netanyahu out by July 31?
0%
+3 de plus
GeopoliticsWorldMiddle East +4
$124.0M6 marchés 29
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

DecemberDecember
9%
SeptemberSeptember
5%
AugustAugust
2%
+7 de plus
Iran RegimeIranMojtaba Khamenei +6
$70.1M10 marchés 512
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei head stateMojtaba Khamenei head state
80%
There Head StateThere Head State
4%
Reza Pahlavi head stateReza Pahlavi head state
3%
+120 de plus
Middle EastIranWorld +4
$38.1M123 marchés 153
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIran +7
$24.3M 6
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

JulyJuly
100%
JulyJuly
100%
JulyJuly
100%
+19 de plus
IranIsraelGeopolitics +2
$22.3M22 marchés 189
Jul 18, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

DecemberDecember
6%
JuneJune
0%
JanuaryJanuary
0%
+4 de plus
shahReza PahlaviIran Regime +5
$21.7M7 marchés 418
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 2027June 2027
14%
December 2026December 2026
8%
September 2026September 2026
3%
+2 de plus
putinGeopoliticsUkraine +4
$19.8M5 marchés 1
Jul 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 2026December 2026
12%
October 2026October 2026
6%
August 2026August 2026
2%
+4 de plus
GeopoliticsTrumpMiddle East +6
$17.7M7 marchés 218
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
World
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

August
94%
August
92%
July
90%
+2 de plus
IranceasefirePeace Deal +3
$14.2M5 marchés 510
Jul 18, 2026
PM LIVE
World
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran December 2026US-Iran December 2026
32%
US-Iran September 2026US-Iran September 2026
9%
US-Iran August 2026US-Iran August 2026
2%
+4 de plus
IranUS-IranPeace Deal +3
$13.7M7 marchés 156
Jun 30, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
HFCGeopoliticsWorld +3
$11.9M 707
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
IranshahGeopolitics +3
$11.7M 51
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 2026December 2026
12%
September 2026September 2026
3%
August 2026August 2026
1%
+4 de plus
GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIran +4
$8.3M7 marchés 232
Jun 30, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 2026December 2026
5%
March 2026March 2026
0%
April 2026April 2026
0%
US-IranIsraelIran +5
$7.7M3 marchés
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?US strike on Cuba by December 31?
22%
US strike on Cuba by January 31?US strike on Cuba by January 31?
0%
US strike on Cuba by March 31?US strike on Cuba by March 31?
0%
CubaVenezuelaGeopolitics
$7.2M3 marchés 101
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
World
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Seen DecemberSeen December
26%
Seen SeptemberSeen September
8%
Seen AugustSeen August
3%
+11 de plus
Middle EastIsraelIran +1
$6.3M14 marchés 396
Mar 13, 2026

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