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Polymarket
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
38%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
26%
+125 de plus
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +4
$380.7M128 marchés 268
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
56%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
14%
Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
13%
+54 de plus
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrump +3
$70.1M57 marchés 179
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
100%
MarchMarch
100%
JuneJune
100%
+3 de plus
Foreign PolicyIranWorld +6
$38.2M6 marchés
Jun 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

11%chance
Yes 11¢
No 89¢
DenmarkForeign PolicyGreenland +4
$29.6M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

5%chance
Yes 5¢
No 95¢
IsraelPoliticsWorld +6
$29.2M
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter MagyarPéter Magyar
62%
Viktor OrbánViktor Orbán
38%
László ToroczkaiLászló Toroczkai
1%
+23 de plus
WorldWorld ElectionsElections +4
$29.2M26 marchés
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran strikes Israel on...?

Iran strikes Israel on...?

Strike MarchStrike March
100%
Strike MarchStrike March
100%
Strike MarchStrike March
100%
+7 de plus
PoliticsIranGeopolitics +4
$15.4M10 marchés 4828
PM LIVE
Politics
Paris Mayoral Election

Paris Mayoral Election

Emmanuel Grégoire mayorEmmanuel Grégoire mayor
67%
Éric Grégoire mayorÉric Grégoire mayor
33%
Rachida Dati mayorRachida Dati mayor
32%
+45 de plus
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsWorld Elections +5
$14.9M48 marchés 302
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 2027Jordan Bardella 2027
30%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
14%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
11%
+125 de plus
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsWorld +2
$11.3M128 marchés 317
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9%chance
Yes 9¢
No 91¢
Foreign PolicyChinaPolitics +3
$10.7M 71
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
68%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
42%
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
12%
+3 de plus
Starmerukkeir +3
$9.5M6 marchés 322
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

John Cornyn 2026John Cornyn 2026
64%
Ken Paxton 2026Ken Paxton 2026
37%
Dawn Buckingham 2026Dawn Buckingham 2026
0%
+17 de plus
PoliticsUS ElectionElections +8
$8.9M20 marchés
Mar 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Minh HưngMinh Hưng
94%
Tran Luu QuangTran Luu Quang
5%
Phạm ThanhPhạm Thanh
0%
+30 de plus
VietnamElectionsGlobal Elections +2
$8.8M33 marchés 141
Jan 25, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

17%chance
Yes 17¢
No 84¢
PoliticsGreenlandTrump +2
$8.8M 262
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
11%
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
10%
Donald TrumpDonald Trump
9%
+68 de plus
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$8.4M71 marchés 135
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate 2026 ColombianCandidate 2026 Colombian
50%
Ivan Cepeda Castro 2026 ColombianIvan Cepeda Castro 2026 Colombian
46%
Paloma Valencia 2026 ColombianPaloma Valencia 2026 Colombian
37%
+25 de plus
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsElections +3
$7.3M28 marchés 242
Jun 21, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?

Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
18%
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
17%
QatarQatar
10%
+10 de plus
PoliticsIsraelIran +4
$6.2M13 marchés 464
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President by March 31?

Trump out as President by March 31?

1%chance
Yes 1¢
No 99¢
PoliticsElectionsTrump +1
$6.1M
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 2026December 2026
87%
JuneJune
69%
AprilApril
38%
+8 de plus
UkrainePoliticsWorld +3
$5.5M11 marchés 386
Aug 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
What will Trump say this week (March 8)?

What will Trump say this week (March 8)?

Salvador" (MarchSalvador" (March
100%
"Shutdown" "Shut down" (March"Shutdown" "Shut down" (March
100%
"Autopen" (March"Autopen" (March
100%
+24 de plus
MentionsPoliticsTrump
$4.8M27 marchés
Mar 8, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin WarshKevin Warsh
94%
Judy SheltonJudy Shelton
2%
Rick ReiderRick Reider
1%
+32 de plus
TrumpPoliticsFed Rates +4
$4.6M35 marchés 52
Oct 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) most seats HungarianTISZA Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) most seats Hungarian
65%
Fidesz Hungarian Civic Alliance (Fidesz) most seats HungarianFidesz Hungarian Civic Alliance (Fidesz) most seats Hungarian
36%
Momentum Movement (Momentum) most seats HungarianMomentum Movement (Momentum) most seats Hungarian
0%
+34 de plus
PoliticsWorld ElectionsGlobal Elections +1
$4.6M37 marchés 55
Apr 12, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

María enter AprilMaría enter April
47%
María enter MarchMaría enter March
22%
María enter JanuaryMaría enter January
0%
+3 de plus
Trump-MachadoPoliticsTrump +1
$4.5M6 marchés 320
Jan 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

16%chance
Yes 16¢
No 85¢
ElectionsPoliticsGeopolitics +2
$4.4M
Dec 31, 2026
1–24 / 52

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