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Kalshi
Kalshi
Politics

WI-07 Republican nominee?

Michael Alfonso for WI-07
Y88¢/N12¢
Kevin Hermening for WI-07
Y10¢/N91¢
Jessi Ebben for WI-07
Y/N96¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXWIPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y97¢/N
Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y97¢/N
Number winner 2026 gubernatorial general election winner 2026 Senate general election (including special elections) nominees political least 2026 midterms
Y84¢/N16¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXGOVSENDIFF
Kalshi
Politics

How many Cabinet nominees will be confirmed before the August recess?

Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y47¢/N53¢
Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y35¢/N65¢
Number Senate exactly after Issuance and 2026
Y/N92¢
+1 autres marchés
4 marchés
KXAUGRECESSCAB
Kalshi
Politics

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

For Republicans election least percentage points
Y94¢/N
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y88¢/N12¢
For Republicans election least percentage points
Y86¢/N15¢
+8 autres marchés
11 marchés
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

Announce their before Jan 2027
Y22¢/N78¢
Announce their before Sep 2026
Y/N91¢
2 marchés
KXFARAGEOUTREFORM
Kalshi
Politics

West Virginia's 2nd District margin of victory

For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y87¢/N13¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y73¢/N28¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y58¢/N42¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Democratic party more than 211 120th Congress
Y91¢/N
Democratic party more than 214 120th Congress
Y85¢/N15¢
Democratic party more than 217 120th Congress
Y79¢/N21¢
+11 autres marchés
14 marchés
KXDHOUSESEATSDIR
Kalshi
Politics

Wisconsin 05 House General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 340000
Y90¢/N10¢
Total vote count for all participants above 360000
Y77¢/N24¢
Total vote count for all participants above 370000
Y64¢/N37¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

Number above from January November 2026
Y81¢/N19¢
Number above from January November 2026
Y74¢/N27¢
Number above from January November 2026
Y60¢/N41¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXTRUMPRALLIES
Kalshi
Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y35¢/N66¢
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y26¢/N75¢
For Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian between and
Y18¢/N82¢
+8 autres marchés
11 marchés
KXBRPRES1MOV
Kalshi
Politics

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y79¢/N21¢
Hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
PSDB hold 1st after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 autres marchés
15 marchés
KXBRSENMOSTSEATS
Kalshi
Politics

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

PBC PBC Department War
Y59¢/N42¢
1 marchés
KXANTHROPICDOD
Kalshi
Politics

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

Will anyone in Congress change parties?
Y25¢/N75¢
1 marchés
KXPARTYLEAVE
Kalshi
Politics

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Justin Pearson for TN-09
Y100¢/N
LaTroy A-Williams for TN-09
Y/N100¢
DeVante Hill for TN-09
Y/N100¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXTNPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

Wisconsin 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 230000
Y92¢/N
Total vote count for all participants above 240000
Y80¢/N21¢
Total vote count for all participants above 250000
Y67¢/N34¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?

Before Oct 2026
Y45¢/N55¢
Before Sep 2026
Y30¢/N71¢
Before Aug 2026
Y/N95¢
3 marchés
KXBOLOJANOUT
Kalshi
Politics

West Virginia's 1st District margin of victory

For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y86¢/N15¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y72¢/N29¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y61¢/N40¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXMIDTERMMOV
Kalshi
Politics

WI-07 Democratic nominee?

Fred Clark for WI-07
Y94¢/N
Ginger Murray for WI-07
Y/N96¢
Chris Armstrong for WI-07
Y/N97¢
3 marchés
KXWIPRIMARY
Kalshi
Politics

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

Exactly people
Y49¢/N51¢
Exactly people
Y37¢/N63¢
Exactly people
Y/N91¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXHOWMANYUKPM
Kalshi
Politics

CA-04 House winner?

2026 CA-04 election
Y90¢/N10¢
2026 CA-04 election
Y11¢/N90¢
2 marchés
KXCAELECTION
Kalshi
Politics

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

Hold seats all Brazilian states and Federal District), counted together single aggregate body for purposes Contract after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
Hold seats all Brazilian states and Federal District), counted together single aggregate body for purposes Contract after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
UNIÃO hold seats all Brazilian states and Federal District), counted together single aggregate body for purposes Contract after 2026 Brazilian
Y50¢/N50¢
+9 autres marchés
12 marchés
KXBRGOVMOSTSEATS
Kalshi
Politics

South Carolina Governor General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 1700000
Y57¢/N43¢
Total vote count for all participants above 1780000
Y46¢/N54¢
Total vote count for all participants above 1870000
Y32¢/N69¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

Rhode Island Governor General Election: voter turnout

Total vote count for all participants above 330000
Y77¢/N23¢
Total vote count for all participants above 340000
Y62¢/N38¢
Total vote count for all participants above 350000
Y47¢/N53¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN
Kalshi
Politics

Wisconsin's 8th District margin of victory

For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y80¢/N21¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y72¢/N28¢
For Republicans House election least percentage points
Y62¢/N39¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXMIDTERMMOV
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