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Kalshi
Kalshi
Economics

MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?

Maximum peak-relative real GDP per capita for 2026 through 2033 below
Y85¢/N15¢
Maximum peak-relative real GDP per capita for 2026 through 2033 least
Y15¢/N85¢
2 marchés
KXAIGROWTHBET
Kalshi
Economics

China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026

China’s for above 1,400 million barrels
Y78¢/N22¢
China’s for above 1,450 million barrels
Y52¢/N49¢
China’s for above 1,500 million barrels
Y25¢/N75¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXCHINAOILINV
Kalshi
Economics

30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

30-year yield mins
Y57¢/N43¢
1 marchés
KX30YRRATE15M
Kalshi
Economics

2-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

2-year yield mins
Y71¢/N29¢
1 marchés
KX2YRRATE15M
Kalshi
Economics

US 30Y Treasury yield at 2:00pm ET?

Pyth above 5.21% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 5.22% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 5.23% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
+32 autres marchés
35 marchés
KX30YRRATEH
Kalshi
Economics

5-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

5-year yield mins
Y42¢/N58¢
1 marchés
KX5YRRATE15M
Kalshi
Economics

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes

AUD/USD price up in next 15 mins?
Y63¢/N37¢
1 marchés
KXAUDUSD15M
Kalshi
Economics

US 2Y Treasury yield at 6:00am ET?

Pyth above 4.52% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.53% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.54% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 autres marchés
15 marchés
KX2YRRATEH
Kalshi
Economics

US 2Y Treasury yield at 9:00am ET?

Pyth above 4.52% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.53% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.54% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 autres marchés
15 marchés
KX2YRRATEH
Kalshi
Economics

US 5Y Treasury yield at 10:00am ET?

Pyth above 4.63% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.64% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.65% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 autres marchés
15 marchés
KX5YRRATEH
Kalshi
Economics

5-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

5-year yield mins
Y67¢/N34¢
1 marchés
KX5YRRATE15M
Kalshi
Economics

US 2Y Treasury yield at 8:45am ET · PCE and GDP

Pyth above 4.25% Jan
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.26% Jan
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 4.27% Jan
Y50¢/N50¢
+48 autres marchés
51 marchés
KX2YRRATEEVENT
Kalshi
Economics

Median Big Law starting salary in 2027

First-year associate base for largest law-firm-size category above $215,000
Y98¢/N3¢
First-year associate base for largest law-firm-size category above $220,000
Y97¢/N3¢
First-year associate base for largest law-firm-size category above $225,000
Y97¢/N4¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXBIGLAWSALARY
Kalshi
Economics

30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

30-year yield mins
Y50¢/N51¢
1 marchés
KX30YRRATE15M
Kalshi
Economics

Will GTA VI preorders be reported?

Take-Two Interactive Rockstar Games publicly disclose numeric figure for Grand Theft Auto before Feb 2027
Y51¢/N49¢
1 marchés
KXCOMPANYACTIONTTWO
Kalshi
Economics

US 30Y Treasury yield at 3:00pm ET?

Pyth above 5.19% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 5.20% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
Pyth above 5.21% Nov
Y50¢/N50¢
+12 autres marchés
15 marchés
KX30YRRATEH
Kalshi
Economics

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1

Inc. report Above 832 urbn 2028
Y87¢/N13¢
Inc. report Above 834 urbn 2028
Y73¢/N27¢
Inc. report Above 836 urbn 2028
Y63¢/N37¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXURBN
Kalshi
Economics

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1

Inc. report Above total segment 2028
Y96¢/N4¢
Inc. report Above total segment 2028
Y92¢/N8¢
Inc. report Above total segment 2028
Y72¢/N28¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXURBN
Kalshi
Economics

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3

Corporation report Above same-store 2026
Y96¢/N5¢
Corporation report Above same-store 2026
Y90¢/N10¢
Corporation report Above same-store 2026
Y78¢/N22¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXDG
Kalshi
Economics

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3

Inc. report Above 5300 $100k 2027
Y89¢/N11¢
Inc. report Above 5325 $100k 2027
Y62¢/N38¢
Inc. report Above 5350 $100k 2027
Y27¢/N73¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXOKTA
Kalshi
Economics

Dick's comparable sales in Q3

Sporting Goods Inc report Above store 2026
Y96¢/N5¢
Sporting Goods Inc report Above store 2026
Y90¢/N10¢
Sporting Goods Inc report Above store 2026
Y71¢/N29¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXDKS
Kalshi
Economics

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3

Inc. report Above store 2027
Y93¢/N7¢
Inc. report Above store 2027
Y88¢/N12¢
Inc. report Above store 2027
Y69¢/N31¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXBBY
Kalshi
Economics

Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3

Communications, Inc. report Above 4675 with $100k trailing 12-month 2027
Y94¢/N6¢
Communications, Inc. report Above 4700 with $100k trailing 12-month 2027
Y82¢/N18¢
Communications, Inc. report Above 4725 with $100k trailing 12-month 2027
Y48¢/N52¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXZM
Kalshi
Economics

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. report Above total comparable revenue 2026
Y96¢/N5¢
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. report Above total comparable revenue 2026
Y93¢/N7¢
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. report Above total comparable revenue 2026
Y88¢/N13¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXWSM
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