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Kalshi
Kalshi
Economics

How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

Corporate bankruptcies there
Y97¢/N
Corporate bankruptcies there
Y96¢/N
Corporate bankruptcies there
Y96¢/N
+10 autres marchés
13 marchés
KXBANKRUPTCY
Kalshi
Economics

Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

10-year minus 2-year above between Issuance and December
Y67¢/N33¢
10-year minus 2-year above between Issuance and December
Y42¢/N58¢
10-year minus 2-year above between Issuance and December
Y36¢/N65¢
+1 autres marchés
4 marchés
KX10Y2Y
Kalshi
Economics

Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?

Electronic Arts Nasdaq-100 2026
Y91¢/N
DexCom Nasdaq-100 2026
Y13¢/N88¢
Copart Nasdaq-100 2026
Y13¢/N88¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXNDXREMOVEQ
Kalshi
Economics

Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?

Any Primary Market Survey (PMMS) report 30-Year Fixed-Rate rate 5.75%
Y/N92¢
1 marchés
KXFM30YMTG
Kalshi
Economics

Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027

Corporation report above 46000 total employees
Y88¢/N13¢
Corporation report above 48000 total employees
Y68¢/N32¢
Corporation report above 50000 total employees
Y42¢/N59¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXNVDAA
Kalshi
Economics

Brazil unemployment rate in June

2026
Y68¢/N32¢
2026
Y68¢/N32¢
2026
Y54¢/N46¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXUE
Kalshi
Economics

Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026

Global Holdings Corp. report Above 204 super-scaled
Y76¢/N24¢
Global Holdings Corp. report Above 208 super-scaled
Y63¢/N37¢
Global Holdings Corp. report Above 212 super-scaled
Y46¢/N54¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXZETAA
Kalshi
Economics

How low will US gas prices get in 2026?

Average below $3.60 Dec
Y74¢/N26¢
Average below $3.40 Dec
Y59¢/N41¢
Average below $3.80 Dec
Y50¢/N50¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXAAAGASMIN
Kalshi
Economics

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?

Federal Reserve for its Summary Economic Projections
Y88¢/N13¢
1 marchés
KXDOTPLOTPUB
Kalshi
Economics

Sea Garena paying users in Q2

Ltd report above million quarterly 2026
Y97¢/N
Ltd report above million quarterly 2026
Y97¢/N
Ltd report above million quarterly 2026
Y97¢/N
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KXSE
Kalshi
Economics

Wingstop total system-wide restaurants in fiscal 2026

Inc. report Above 3400 system-wide
Y92¢/N
Inc. report Above 3425 system-wide
Y90¢/N10¢
Inc. report Above 3450 system-wide
Y81¢/N19¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXWINGA
Kalshi
Economics

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley serve lead-left underwriter
Y50¢/N50¢
Goldman Sachs serve lead-left underwriter
Y42¢/N58¢
JPMorgan Chase serve lead-left underwriter
Y/N96¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXANTHROPICLEADLEFT
Kalshi
Economics

2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?

Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 4bps
Y76¢/N24¢
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 6bps
Y71¢/N29¢
Absolute difference between Federal Reserve’s published 2-year constant maturity for 2026 and its published value for 2026 least 8bps
Y64¢/N37¢
+7 autres marchés
10 marchés
KX2YFOMC
Kalshi
Economics

How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?

(Distributed Value) before 2027 above Billion
Y37¢/N63¢
(Distributed Value) before 2027 above Billion
Y35¢/N65¢
(Distributed Value) before 2027 above Billion
Y34¢/N66¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXTOKENUST
Kalshi
Economics

NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in July 2027

Monthly compute NVIDIA's above $2.00
Y84¢/N17¢
Monthly compute NVIDIA's above $2.25
Y76¢/N25¢
Monthly compute NVIDIA's above $2.50
Y60¢/N41¢
+6 autres marchés
9 marchés
KXH100MS
Kalshi
Economics

Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2

Inc. report Above restaurant-level 2026
Y99¢/N
Inc. report Above restaurant-level 2026
Y97¢/N
Inc. report Above restaurant-level 2026
Y89¢/N12¢
+5 autres marchés
8 marchés
KXSG
Kalshi
Economics

Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?

Year-over-year inflation for
Y19¢/N82¢
1 marchés
KXCOREUND
Kalshi
Economics

Shopify gross merchandise volume in Q2

Inc. report Above $108 billion 2026
Y100¢/N
Inc. report Above $112 billion 2026
Y100¢/N
Inc. report Above $116 billion 2026
Y/N100¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXSHOP
Kalshi
Economics

Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba?

Before July 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before August 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Before October 2026
Y22¢/N79¢
+1 autres marchés
4 marchés
KXMEXCUBOIL
Kalshi
Economics

Clear+ members in Q2

Clear Secure Inc. report Above million active clear plus 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Clear Secure Inc. report Above million active clear plus 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Clear Secure Inc. report Above million active clear plus 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+3 autres marchés
6 marchés
KXYOU
Kalshi
Economics

eBay gross merchandise volume in Q2

Inc. report Above billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Inc. report Above $21.5 billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Inc. report Above billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+2 autres marchés
5 marchés
KXEBAY
Kalshi
Economics

Altria cigarette shipments in Q2

Group Inc. report Above 13.5 billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Group Inc. report Above billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
Group Inc. report Above 14.5 billion 2026
Y50¢/N50¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXMO
Kalshi
Economics

Domino's total US stores in 2026

Pizza Inc report Above 7350
Y84¢/N16¢
Pizza Inc report Above 7375
Y47¢/N53¢
Pizza Inc report Above 7400
Y18¢/N82¢
+4 autres marchés
7 marchés
KXDPZA
Kalshi
Economics

PPI YoY in July

United States Producer Price Index for final demand for 2026 above
Y53¢/N47¢
United States Producer Price Index for final demand for 2026 above
Y50¢/N51¢
United States Producer Price Index for final demand for 2026 above
Y38¢/N62¢
+11 autres marchés
14 marchés
KXUSPPIYOY
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