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Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom nominationGavin Newsom nomination
18%
Jon Ossoff nominationJon Ossoff nomination
15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez nominationAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez nomination
14%
+125 más
United StatesElectionsPolitics +4
$1.3B128 mercados 774
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert Kennedy nominationRobert Kennedy nomination
49%
Vance nominationVance nomination
46%
Marco Rubio nominationMarco Rubio nomination
28%
+125 más
United StatesPoliticsUS Election +5
$685.0M128 mercados 418
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

VanceVance
21%
Marco RubioMarco Rubio
13%
Gavin NewsomGavin Newsom
12%
+125 más
PresidentUnited StatesUS Election +6
$677.1M128 mercados 992
Nov 7, 2028
PM LIVE
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy AhmedAbiy Ahmed
96%
Gedion TimothewosGedion Timothewos
2%
Belete MollaBelete Molla
1%
+30 más
EthiopiaElectionsMain Election +2
$267.8M33 mercados 39
Jun 1, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 BrazilianLuiz Inácio Lula Silva 2026 Brazilian
65%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2026 BrazilianFlávio Bolsonaro 2026 Brazilian
26%
Renan Santos 2026 BrazilianRenan Santos 2026 Brazilian
8%
+29 más
PoliticsMacro Election 2Main Election +4
$119.4M32 mercados 15547
Oct 4, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Pen 2027Marine Pen 2027
30%
Édouard Philippe 2027Édouard Philippe 2027
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027Jean-Luc Mélenchon 2027
14%
+125 más
French ElectionMain ElectionFrance +4
$117.3M128 mercados 650
Apr 30, 2027
PM LIVE
Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás MaduroNicolás Maduro
82%
Delcy RodríguezDelcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina MachadoMaría Corina Machado
3%
+54 más
Trump-MachadoRewards 20, 4.5, 50Venezuela +4
$95.1M57 mercados 367
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Before 2027Before 2027
6%
SeptemberSeptember
3%
AprilApril
0%
+3 más
AliensPoliticsCulture +1
$64.2M6 mercados 1673
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%chance
Yes 16¢
No 85¢
Military StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics +5
$56.8M 1
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 2026Xavier Becerra 2026
94%
Steve Hilton 2026Steve Hilton 2026
3%
Chad Bianco 2026Chad Bianco 2026
0%
+42 más
California MidtermGovernor midtermsCalifornia Governor +3
$40.6M45 mercados 88
Nov 3, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
PoliticsWorldGeopolitics +3
$39.4M 73
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%chance
Yes 4¢
No 96¢
DavosParent For DerivativeForeign Policy +4
$35.2M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi EizenkotGadi Eizenkot
51%
Benjamin NetanyahuBenjamin Netanyahu
33%
Naftali BennettNaftali Bennett
7%
+25 más
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPolitics +7
$31.1M28 mercados 545
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

DecemberDecember
10%
SeptemberSeptember
3%
AugustAugust
1%
+5 más
PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopolitics +4
$29.0M8 mercados 196
Apr 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

AugustAugust
11%
AugustAugust
6%
MayMay
0%
+15 más
PoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran +3
$26.5M18 mercados 962
May 24, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya
9%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy
6%
UNRWAUNRWA
5%
+68 más
AwardsPoliticsGeopolitics +1
$23.2M71 mercados 198
Oct 10, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 2027June 2027
23%
DecemberDecember
14%
SeptemberSeptember
6%
+7 más
PoliticsIranIran Regime +7
$22.5M10 mercados 1090
Mar 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United RussiaUnited Russia
68%
New PeopleNew People
25%
Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)Liberal Democratic Russia (LDPR)
5%
+31 más
PoliticsInternational Election PropsWorld Elections +5
$16.7M34 mercados 351
Sep 30, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 2026December 2026
5%
December 2025December 2025
0%
March 2026March 2026
0%
+1 más
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump Presidency +2
$14.2M4 mercados 1175
Dec 31, 2025
PM LIVE
Politics
Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 2026Karen Bass 2026
64%
Nithya Raman 2026Nithya Raman 2026
36%
Rick Caruso 2026Rick Caruso 2026
0%
+12 más
LALos Angeles Mayoral ElectionLA Mayor +6
$13.1M15 mercados 150
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6%chance
Yes 6¢
No 95¢
DavosPoliticsTrump +2
$10.5M 271
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

7%chance
Yes 7¢
No 94¢
PoliticsTrumpGeopolitics +2
$10.5M
Dec 31, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

17%chance
Yes 17¢
No 84¢
OilIranPolitics +2
$10.4M2 mercados
Aug 15, 2026
PM LIVE
Politics
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

El-Mandeb DecemberEl-Mandeb December
13%
El-Mandeb SeptemberEl-Mandeb September
8%
El-Mandeb AugustEl-Mandeb August
4%
+7 más
PoliticshouthiIran +10
$9.5M10 mercados 226
Apr 30, 2026
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